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adelphi_sky

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Posts posted by adelphi_sky

  1. 22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    If you want a quick setup, I recommend the Tempest from WxFlow

    I saw that one before. My current weather station's wind wheel thingy broke when it was blown off the roof. I have since made the mount more sturdy. But at $329, I'll wait until next month to get it. It has good reviews. 

    0.12" so far today. But I see incoming rain from Richmond marching north!

  2. 4 minutes ago, H2O said:

    High PWATs all week will just dump rain

    While I appreciate the rain, I bike the Northwest Branch bike trail to Anacostia Park in Bladensburg. Last week, the path at some points was covered with deep sand from the Northwest Branch overflowing. It will be interesting if I can continue to ride it this week. After the big storms there were a few large branches that fell on the trail. 

    • Like 1
  3. Soooo. Worst rain I ever drove through. I had to get mys on from summer camp. Drove from Adelphi to Beltsville. Glad I took the jeep. It's bad out there and the rain is still coming down. There's sure to be some bad flooding after it's over. 

  4. Just spitballing here. But Would any of you mets like to do a zoom session, I know, I'm sick of zoom too, on the 101 of models. Then perhaps another session on the Mid-Atlantic climo? I admit, I'm a longtime lurker/poster, but have gotten lazy and just look at the pretty pictures you guys post. I'm a visual person. But I guess it would help to understand what I'm looking at to either discount what the model is saying or to trust it. Broadstrokes are fine. Maybe 30 minutes or so. 

     

    Edit, then perhaps we can post the session on the site for reference. 

    • Thanks 1
  5. 2 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

    Ehhh maybe, there has been some general hiccups across the models in terms of short range projections, but I think as a whole the models have been pretty spot on <48 hours out.  I guess it's always smart to keep in mind climo 3-5 days out and expect things to change.  At day 5 a model can show a threat but to ask it to set up ptype accurately seems to be stretch.  I feel like we get hung up on snowfall and ptype at hr 120 and we miss the forest for the trees.  I'm sure as hell guilty of it too.

    So inside of 48 hours we switch to the HRRR and RDPS? Forgot how it was spelled. 

  6. 32 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

    Really interesting stuff, the theme of Metro DC snow has always been razor thin since as long as I've been here, but back in the day it would break our way seemingly more often.  I wonder what kind of affect global warming as a whole has on our region; we can't exactly afford a 1-2C degree increase in most storms, and it seems like we just can't push through any more to just get under freezing.  I feel like I'm living in the southern St. Mary's Co of 20 years ago, if that makes any sense.

    In addition, I can't recall a time where all models were wrong 24 hours out. If I recall, they used to get a good grip on things inside 24 hours. But lately, we've gone from frozen precip to just rain on models inside of 24 even as the radar fills in from the West or South. Even King Euro is having problems a day out. I get there are shifts. But that last minute nothing sandwich that appeared on Wednesday was just insane. 

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