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annunciated

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Everything posted by annunciated

  1. There comes a point until you have to question if trolling is the only source of entertainment for 'em, because it appears as if it were so. Sad, if true.
  2. Deepmind really wanting to pick up the second wave into the SW Atlantic. Some IFS/AIFS-Ens. members also agree with this.
  3. Interpreting from ARMOR3D's measurements, not only does it span actually about 3,500 miles but also likely has the width of roughly 3-4 degrees of latitude (2N-2S) and a depth of 25 meters on average. The energy required to heat a specific area like that to +10C is ridiculous. If it's anywhere in the >10^16 joule range, which I believe it is, good luck producing that unnaturally.
  4. It appears a very small area of +11C has been detected in the ENSO subsurfaces. Jesus.
  5. It's why the notion from some people that this is the Nino of the Millenium (250-1000 years in some Xwitter post) is just crazy, and yet again, it's great for clicks.
  6. I hope Athens can get some of that magic too, lol.
  7. That's good for Jamstec that it can spot that SE US cold anomaly that far out, especially if it does bad in the mid latitudes...and also assuming it verifies cold, lol.
  8. i bet on that day he would make his responses just days later or even lurk with some emoticons on different posts...I was wrong, lol. EDIT: Small banter, sorry!
  9. Perhaps for us southerners and those in the Mid-Atlantic region, but we definitely need those cold shots from the polar jet to cooperate.
  10. I was pretty astonished in July that it was hovering at the freezing line and are indeed astonished now it remained that way through peak summer heating at the poles.
  11. His latest video is... interesting; calls for Coastal California and Oregon to get higher than avg. snow totals but not much of the Southern Rockies (@ "slightly above avg.") whom have a naturally greater shot of getting into those colder temps. I can somewhat agree with the rest, but it's easy to say that we only have broader hints of the setup ahead of us rather than patterns we can forecast weeks or a month/two in advance...not 4-6 months.
  12. We need a little more luck down here in GA, but otherwise I do agree! We have to just wait and see.
  13. Just for fun, could you do KFFC (Atlanta)? Copernicus hadn't updated their datasets yet so I can't fetch it.
  14. If I cant find any plots that show above 4C for AAM, then I'll have to compute to see what it is, but I'd really like to see the maxima on these runs because my goodness...lol
  15. At that point further north, you're essentially trading cold(er) air for potential improvements in moisture, if perhaps a greater risk for ice. In my opinion, that could cancel out the warmth's detrimental effects if not add to the snow total average if you can get a good background pattern instead of the polar jet constantly lagging back into Canada.
  16. Good thing NA is on the verge of its cooling-off phase here in the troposphere; it'll be good to see the STJ start to go in a month or two as that temp. gradient becomes apparent
  17. Looks to me we will have another WWB in a week or so. The ECMWF suite, AIFS especially, has been pretty consistent on this signal for a few days now.
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