Jebman

It has been averaging in the 30s and 40s for lows the past 2 weeks here in central Texas. I think this bodes well for the Mid Atlantic. You guys should average 20 degrees below normal for nighttime lows, like we have been. For us, these are super freezing cold temps at night, akin to Dale City getting 13 degree lows every night this time of year. I want you guys to be ice age cold, but not us. We depend on a long growing season down here. I hope that this is only a blip for us. If it turns out to be a long term trend, this winter down in the Deep South could be Deep Trouble. We are not insulated for that kind of weather. I have livestock too, and they are definitely not used to super cold weather. My life down here is slightly different to how I once lived in Dale City, lol, and I am enjoying it. Should have done it 40 years ago! Last night, we hit 38 AGAIN! You'd never imagine our normal low is 56. We just dont get return warm humid air from the GoMex any more. Some fool built an 8 mile high wall all along the Gulf of Mexico and we cant warm up any more.

One thing I wanted to mention, about Central TX where I actually live. You stay down here long enough, you get spoiled ROTTEN by mild weather. I AM spoiled rotten right now. Our normal high/low is 75/55. What i would like to know is why on earth, are we having such a hard time getting the south winds down here that we Texans love? Why is it so damn cold all the time? We FINALLY made it to 77 degrees today, normal high is 75. But the damned dewpoint is still a frigid 39! Where is our south wind, Gulf advection? Our dews should be 60 degrees this time of year lmao! BESIDES, I want it hot down here, so the Mid Atlantic gets the TROUGH, frigid weather, and SNOW! I will willingly take 95 degrees, with 73 dewpoints all winter down here, if it will help the Mid Atlantic get Vodka Cold and repeated torrential shellackings of snow! You can take that to the Bank!

TL;DR The Mid Atlantic is gonna get absolutely SHELLACKED by torrential winter snows and frigid Vodka Cold, especially from late Jan 2021, thru early April 2021.

Take a good look at this pic. Because this, is what the entire Mid Atlantic is gonna look like in the Epic Winter of 2020-2021! Minus the deer, or moose, or whatever that animal is. This deer should become the 2020-2021 Winter Mascot!

I guess we could try, but we will have to be very persistent lol. I cant start it, someone else will need to. Then I can log in there using another name lol

LMAO!

Dale City got 1 inch of snow on the grassy areas on Oct 10 back in 1979. Arctic front came a bit farther south than forecast. Damn, we STILL had to go to school. I was still in high school back then lol

You guys in the Mid Atlantic arent just gonna do this digitally. You are gonna do it for REAL too, in January, February and March in 2021 as you get shellacked by torrential snows that will pile up and pile up!

I think the Mid Atlantic will enjoy a very cold, snowy winter in 2020-2021.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 856 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020 .EQUIPMENT... The KLWX (Sterling, VA) WSR-88D outage, which began on September 20, 2020, will continue and remain out of service until on or about October 16, 2020. On Saturday, technicians from the NWS Radar Operations Center (ROC), based in Norman, Oklahoma, determined that a primary component for turning the radar antenna, the bull-gear, needs replacement. This repair will require 12,000 to 15,000 pounds of equipment and a six-person team from the ROC to restore the radar. At this time, the team anticipates repairs being completed on or about October 16, 2020. During the downtime, adjacent supporting NWS radars include: Dover DE (KDOX), Mt. Holly NJ (KDIX), Pittsburgh PA (KPBZ), Charleston WV (KRLX), Blacksburg VA (KFCX), and Wakefield VA (KAKQ). For a radar mosaic loop for the region: https:/radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/northeast.php Further updates about the situation will be issued as information becomes available. Thank you for your understanding during this extended outage. Point of Contact: Christopher Strong email: [email protected] office: 703-996-2223 &&

Get ready for an exciting, satisfying winter! The entire Mid Atlantic is gonna get a ton of snow and deep cold!

I must confess to feeling immense relief, that Marco then Laura will smash into the TX/LA state border and miss Austin completely! The surprise rain this morning at 630am CDT was bad enough! Louisiana can have all that rain! I'd rather have blue skies and summer heat here in central Texas in August! Man that was a very close call!

The entire Mid Atlantic is gonna get buried ALIVE in deep snow this upcoming winter! Its gonna be very cold too! Throw about twenty more logs on that fire!

Give up the ghost, Reaper. You're never gonna EVER get the Jebman. You are the Eternal Reaper. I, on the other hand, am the Eternal Optimist. I say The Mid Atlantic is gonna get deep snow and Vodka Cold this autumn and winter and that YOU are gonna Jump, out of sheer frustration lmao. You're gonna need to bring your A++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Game. If you can.

Wow - N Virginia is gonna get hit yet AGAIN by lots of rain the week into the weekend! You all must be busy mowing your lawns a lot!

Three months from now, Mid Atlantic. Only three short months from now, its going to be getting COLD in the Washington DC Metropolitan Region. You are all gonna be looking at a massive snow winter. Pro Tip: Get stocked up on Jebman Shovels NOW. Get ice melter, tons of sand. Stockpiling sand is very fun because shoveling the stuff is very much like digging snow after a 2 foot HECS in the DC Region. Get top shelf snowmobiles and snow blowers. Get all set right now, because in 3-4 months, you're gonna need em. You're gonna need a bigger snowplow.

Okay folks, I am no warminista. I still love winter and deep snow and Vodka cold jebwalks even tho I now live in the Deep South lol! With that said, August down here in South Central Texas is SUPPOSED to be burning hot with zero clouds and a nice hot blue sky. This August thus far, I feel that I have been cheated of a really warm enjoyable summer replete with numerous Texas heatwaves consisting of multiple periods of days of 103 degree heat. There have also been numerous cumulus clouds depriving me of the healthful direct Texas sunlight even as I happily enjoy all of my outdoor tasks! This is not the way August is supposed to be down here near Austin. August is supposed to be devoid of any rain, clear hot blue skies and plenty of 75 degree dewpoints. We usually get treated to lots of hot weather all thru September too! Our growing season is to die for! I think it starts in March and runs to early December! Here's hoping for a monster 635 dm Saharan anticyclone here in the great state of Texas and decent hot weather, maybe a week or two around 106 degrees and lows near 90! I'd be outside in it at 3pm in the warmest part of the day happily working pretty hard and drinking water like a hot horse! Sure we dont get much snow down here but there are other things to like!

Was expecting 15 mph gusts this afternoon from Hanna. Got hit by a squall this afternoon, winds gusted unexpectedly to over 40 mph, blew stuff all over. Picked up a half inch of rain, more than I expected.

Hanna is moving south southwest. Not much to see near Austin TX. 15 mph wind, chance of an inch of rain. Deep South Texas will have all the fun, tropical storm force wind gusts and 8 inches of rain. Move along, move along, not much to see here. But in the Corpus Christi region, different story: 000 FXUS64 KCRP 251210 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 710 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020 .DISCUSSION... See 12z TAF discussion below. && .AVIATION... Weather conditions will continue to deteriorate at area terminals today due to Hanna`s approach and eventual landfall along the mid/south TX coast. Will indicate tropical storm force winds at CRP and ALI airports given the forecast track of Hanna to the south of these areas. However, gusts to hurricane force are still possible! Expect widespread showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall to spread in from the coast which will reduce visitibilities to IFR conditions. Expect heavy rain to continue along the coast through the night with improving conditions across the northeast Coastal Bend Tonight. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 611 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020/ SHORT TERM (Today and Tonight)... Tropical Storm Hanna continues to approach the CRP MSA early this morning. Convection on the west and north sides have increased quite a bit overnight. Satellite representation has also been very impressive overnight with bubbling convection around the center of circulation. Hurricane models (HWRF and HMON specifically) continue to be very aggressive with intensifying the system as it moves toward the coast this morning. These two models are significantly higher than all other guidance out there. Track guidance has become fairly well in agreement with variations of only about a county. Current forecast cone indicates landfall potential between Corpus Christi and Port Mansfield with timing generally expected this afternoon. Rainfall continues to be a major concern across much of South Texas. Southeastern areas near where the storm moves inland are expected to see 5 to 10 inches. With increasing convection to the north of the storm center, we will still see 3 to 5 inches over the northern Coastal Bend and 2 to 4 inches as you go north and west. Moderate coastal flooding is expected across the Middle Texas coast as the storm moves in with Storm Surge warnings in place. Once the storm moves inland it will gradually dissipate but at least Tropical storm force winds will likely reach well inland before it weakens to a depression Sunday. LONG TERM... The same high pressure ridge that is Steering Hanna into South and Deep South Texas will continue to steer moisture and unsettled weather into South Texas through early in the week. High end chance PoPs continue through Wednesday before decreasing late week as the ridge shifts eastward and mid-level troughing deepens through the central part of the country. Temperatures through the first part of the period will be below normal due to TS Hanna, and the increased moisture...then warm back to near normal by late in the week. MARINE... Convection on the western side of TS Hanna has increase through the Middle Texas Coastal waters overnight as the storm approaches the CRP MSA. Hanna will progress west or west southwestward through the area this morning with a landfall expected this afternoon. Tropical storm to hurricane force winds are expected throughout the area with very high seas. Wave heights at the 19 buoy north of the area have already surpassed 20 feet this morning. Expect wave heights of 15 to 20 feet area wide today. Torrential downpours will occur, especially in rain bands and eventually any potential eyewall of the storm. Rain chances continue through the middle of the week as unsettled weather persists. Winds will decrease to moderate levels by Monday and persist at light to moderate levels through the end of the period. Rain chances decrease late in the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 83 79 84 76 87 / 100 100 80 60 50 Victoria 85 77 85 75 89 / 90 80 80 50 70 Laredo 93 76 83 76 88 / 80 90 80 50 70 Alice 83 77 83 75 89 / 100 100 70 50 60 Rockport 83 80 84 79 85 / 100 90 80 70 60 Cotulla 93 77 87 75 90 / 70 70 80 40 60 Kingsville 83 78 83 76 88 / 100 100 80 60 50 Navy Corpus 83 80 84 79 86 / 100 100 80 60 60 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Hurricane Warning For the following zones: Aransas Islands... Calhoun Islands...Coastal Aransas...Coastal Kleberg... Coastal Nueces...Coastal Refugio...Coastal San Patricio... Inland Kleberg...Inland Nueces...Inland San Patricio...Jim Wells...Kleberg Islands...Nueces Islands. Flash Flood Watch through Sunday evening For the following zones: Aransas Islands...Bee...Calhoun Islands...Coastal Aransas...Coastal Calhoun...Coastal Kleberg...Coastal Nueces...Coastal Refugio...Coastal San Patricio...Duval... Goliad...Inland Calhoun...Inland Kleberg...Inland Nueces... Inland Refugio...Inland San Patricio...Jim Wells...Kleberg Islands...Live Oak...Nueces Islands...Victoria. Tropical Storm Warning For the following zones: Bee...Coastal Calhoun...Duval...Goliad...Inland Calhoun...Inland Refugio...Live Oak...Victoria. GM...Hurricane Warning For the following zones: Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas...Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O`Connor...Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM. && $$ JM/75...AVIATION Wish I could see it! Anyone for a tropical storm chase?

.CLIMATE... Aside from the one day last week that broke the streak of consecutive 90+ F days at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (KDCA), every day this month has had a high of at least 90 F. As of Tuesday afternoon, that total (for July) was up to 20 days. The most 90+ F days ever in any month in the immediate Washington, DC, area is 25 days (set in July 2011). Looking at the pattern over the next 7 days, as well as probabilities for above normal temperatures from our colleagues at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) out to 14 days, it seems it will be very difficult to NOT break that record. For the Baltimore, Maryland, and Sterling-Dulles, Virginia, areas, the record most 90+ F days in a month is 24 days (also set in July 2011). As of Tuesday afternoon, the Baltimore area had hit 90 F 17 times so far this month, and the Sterling/Dulles Virginia area had hit 90 F 15 days. Temperature records have been kept at what is now KDCA since 1941. The official temperature records for the immediate Washington, DC, area consist of data from KDCA starting in 1945, and observations taken in downtown Washington, DC, extend the region`s period of record back to 1872. Temperature records for the Baltimore, Maryland, area have been kept at what is now Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport (KBWI) since 1950. Additional temperature records observed in downtown Baltimore extend the period of record back to 1872. Temperature records for the Sterling-Dulles, Virginia, area have been kept at what is now Washington Dulles International Airport (KIAD) since 1960. All climate data are considered preliminary until reviewed by the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). && https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off The Washington Metropolitan Region looks to get a good deal more rain in the next few days.

Congratulations Dale City on a 101 degree reading today! You got us beat here in Central Texas, as we only managed to hit 97 this afternoon.

Tomorrow, many of you along the I 95 Corridor will experience high temperatures near 100 degrees. Heat indices will be as high as 109 degrees. This is dangerous heat for the DC Metropolitan Region. Stay cool, drink lots of water. Take frequent breaks in the shade. I know. I used to live up there. I live in south central Texas. This stuff is normal, routine for us down here, especially in August. I have found that I like to work outside in the sun, on the ranch, if you can believe that. I love digging trenches out there, its exciting to watch the dust get blown around as I work out there nearly every day. I take a lot of breaks in the shade and drink tons of water. Its not a bad time to hit the beaches.

THIS winter the Cryosphere WILL be apocalyptic, what with wildfires and 100 degree days up in Siberia in June. EVERYONE from Atlanta to N Maine will get buried alive in deep snow this winter.

That would equate to a heat index of 119 degrees. I dont think I want to be out working in that.

Mom and her late husband have a few acres down here. I have kind of fallen in love with this place. I love carrying big cedar poles, 80 lb sacks of quickcrete, 40 lb sacks of mulch and 50 lb sacks of gravel in the Texas heat, with the sun nice and high in that Texas sky! This isnt hell at all, this is PURE HEAVEN! I think I like being a ranch hand, lol. It kind of grew on me! Forecasters say this is a historic heat dome, they say it will go on for weeks. Its gonna hit the Mid Atlantic too. Some forecasters down here say we might exceed record heat for Austin. You know what the all time record for Austin is? Its about 112 degrees, lol. Thats AMBIENT temp, not heat index.