lazywxwatcher

That is exactly right!

I second

Interesting you say that as he was pounding his chest a bit on X. Don't know the guy, and he does deserve credit for being correct, but low-end is an easy default position. If you always underforecast: 1. Big snows are rare so you will frequently be correct 2. People are generally not upset if the storm overproduces, but the snow hounds are very upset if it underproduces 3. If you say 2-4" and it winds up 5" hardly anyone notices and it is only 25% above your high-end. A pleasant surprise, essentially, if you like snow, and a little bit more to clean up if you don't. If it ends up 1" it is 50% lower than your low-end. As a percentage game, it is way easier to win.

Had to run this morning so didn't have a chance to measure, but about 3" on the driveway so had to grab the snowblower as it was very wet and heavy. Thought I was just going to scrape it quick and that didn't work out so well... Looks great. If 3 on driveway, guessing 4" or so on grass which is better than I would have guessed when I went to sleep last night. Very long duration light snow through the night got the job done. May have missed the bigger snows, but always nice to see it come down whiten the world for a bit. Live about 3miles NE of Lancaster City. Big storm to the east, IVT to the west - stuck in the middle...

Was just about to go outside, you have spared me. Looks about right out the window. Roads covered and accumulating so should get the kids a day off tomorrow even if amounts are not impressive. If we can hold the line here all night, should still get several inches. 32degrees, dpt 31

Same here near Leola. 33, ground white, roads caving. I agree, the western extent of the coastal and interaction with and location of the IVT will tell the tale here. Good rates here now. Could be 3-12" just across the county depending on how it plays out. Impossible to forecast this exactly ahead of time.

Down to 33 here, ground caving

Trasitioned to moderate blowing snow in Lancaster. Temp fell quickly from 37 to 34, and falling. Pivot will determine the outcome here.

Really respect the pro mets around here. Very challenging forecasting these east coast storms. They affect millions of people and 30miles or a degree or 2 can blow a forecast... I might suggest relocating the the sierra where the forecast is either for nothing or for feet of snow all winter. Hard to imagine anyone getting too upset with you if your 3-4feet of snow forecast busts high or low by a foot or 2. No one probably notices or even cares. And there are few people there to give a crap. Just a suggestion...

35.8 here in Lancaster. Light rain that changes to snow with increased intensity - but there isn't much intensity. As other's have said, dropping sun angles and increased intensity should flip everyone in the 3-6pm window. Abrupt cutoff on models here still, but 0.6-0.9 qpf east to west should still get us the goods later. For all the short term model inconsistencies, the euro and GFS have been in agreement for qpf here since the noon euro run got a clue yesterday.

Very light, mostly snow here in Lancaster 35.4 degrees

Might be a steep gradient through this area. You are in the best spot in the county for heavy snow - the far eastern part!

First post. Long time lurker and previous member of other weather forums. Writing from Lancaster, PA - right in the middle of the county. Tough forecast here but seems NWS has it about correct at 6-12" but could still boom or bust depending on the western edge of the deformation band early Monday. Our low guidance is about 6" Euro and high is about 16-20" on short range NAM/RAP/HRRR. The latter three all rotate bands deep into PA as the storm bombs out. Hope you DC-Balto folks get your snow. Seems a broad 3-8" but lots of boom or bust scenarios down that way as well. First obs: 31.3 here, dpt29. Clear skies. Will prob climb late with some mixing and cloud cover.