TalcottWx

The National Hurricane Center at 5pm appears to have this tracking over the Cape. Wow.

I'm focused on two things. I feel like the long fetch and onshore flooding etc is a given. The track has a solid consensus at least on approach. The real question marks that remain IMO: 1. Intensity. Slow approach. Yeah, it could really intensify in the next day or two before impacting us. I don't see how it doesn't weaken on approach. It would be unprecedented to have some slow moving behemoth of a storm directly impact SNE from this direction. Does this have some kind of Sandy impact where it's not taken seriously because it becomes extra tropical before landfall? There's just so much unknown in terms of intensity right now. 2. The hook. What the hell happens with this thing once it gets pushed to shore? For all we know, it could be slower in movement and actually get slingshot south of SNE with worst impacts on the Mid Atlantic. To me somewhere in the middle is the focus right now. I'd be decently concerned for anyone with maritime interests In Narragansett Bay or Long Island Sound. I am already thinking my day off might be spent traveling to and from the cape to take outdoor items inside. Channel 25 Mike L just had a track of a cyclone over the Cape on his broadcast.

There's simply no way you can consider the euro anything else besides an outlier. It's literally one against the world. It's going to fold.

I'm beginning to buy in to a close shave. Too much consensus to ignore. But I still very much think this could not even make landfall.

Great stuff

I'm wary of rooting on any trop cyclone. Be careful what you wish for

It's easily explained. An excuse to count out a run the weenie doesn't like.

Moving too slow to be anything over a cat 1 I would guess.

I wouldn't rule out a storm that does a loop dee loop south of long Island and never makes landfall.

There's no reason to be bullish on any kind of sne landfall yet

I'll be interested if the euro shows it

Wow at gfs... That'll turn some heads

Lol HMON

Yikes. 6k troops protecting a few miles of desert right now. I pray that runway stays clear

With Bagram and all bases fallen, I am curious where the 5k troops deployed actually are. The airport?

Sad what is happening in Kabul. from all the death on 9/11, to the years of fighting, now back to square one. It's an empty feeling. Fall of Saigon x2

IPas stink

This thread offends me

Believe it or not, I'm a moderate when it comes to politics. You would't know from my response to a certain subject I can't name here. She is the only moderate running. I know her husband well from working in real estate. The others, like Wu, have mentioned these grand plans with no actual substance. She is of the Marty Walsh mold. Which is what I am loyal too. So I am on her side. Just took the Biden sticker off the car and replaced it with Essabi George.

I just picked my nose

Annissa Essabi george for mayor

The best thing about heat is air conditioning.