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pawatch

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Posts posted by pawatch

  1. 51 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    Elliott just shared some thoughts - I'd say he picked some nice dates for his timeframe: :) 

     

    (4/4) With that being said, snow-lovers need to root for the upper-level low responsible for the Fri/Sat storm to track farther south. If it doesn't, we'll have a "nuisance" event with a rain/snow mix and 1-3 inch snowfall amounts (at best) on grass..

    They have all been rain snow mixes this season. Not great for cleaning up but at least some snow.

  2. 7 hours ago, MAG5035 said:

    It might not matter for most in here but that Monday night event is intriguing, especially for the IPT folks and maybe atomix. Only the Euro really took the snow swath thru the heart C-PA up until the last few runs where other guidance is focusing northern third to half of PA after mainly being PA/NY border and north. Low tracks just south of PA but cold is marginal. Best QPF swath will run along a thin ribbon of F-gen forcing, wherever that may set up. Best bet is probably above I-80 and maybe dropping under that some in eastern PA but if the boundary trends south a bit this could get places like UNV and middle Sus between MDT and IPT more involved. 

    Would be a quick hitter but could be some good rates (and respectable ratios) within that F-gen forcing induced band. Guidance is putting up some pretty significant snow totals. I dunno about widespread warning amounts in northern PA but most non Euro guidance in fact has just that. NAM and new GFS op have a swath of 10”+. Certainly a swath of advisories look to be a pretty good likelihood.  

    I see that they upped that overnight. Was snow but no accumulation  :lol:

    Thanks Mag

    1144948F-5ECA-457A-8902-983ACBF2BB0A.jpeg

  3. 49 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    The high at IPT for Thur is near 70 on the RGEM and under 50 on the GFS.   Global's suggesting widespread teens Sat Am.   Just like last Sat AM just a bit colder.  Into a rut with these temp swings. 

    Just a roller coaster of a winter Bubb. Not much consistently in temperatures.

    Watertown Ny 12-18” snow on Friday, 

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