Ericjcrash

33 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Half that... 25 miles. Could be start of trend or just noise. See what 0z runs do later.

Yeah but its probably headed toward hell like the NAM just did.

NAM verifying would make me sick 

1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Albany will probably extend WSW all the way south to Greene and Rensselaer counties this afternoon.

Not even a watch here lol. And I'm fairly far NW.

49 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Take it and run though. We both been teetering on the southern fringe. 6-10 of dense snow always better than a bunch of sleet and zr.

Last 3 Euro runs at 10:1

Oh I'll take it. 

1 minute ago, 96blizz said:

Meh.

Yeah, pretty underwhelming as fronts usually are lol.

10 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

euro going to press that high a bit more here this run. Would think this ends up more progressive than 6z unless the caboose low really amps up 

Excellent, actually snows a decent bit here albeit a dry run though.

Edit, it's about the same but quite a bit snowier here finally.

1 minute ago, Stash said:

With all due respect to this model, I'd just toss this into a steaming hot vat of Canadian maple syrup for now, and go with a Euro/GFS compromise.  At least until later tonight.

We'd better hope its drowning in Hudson Bay.

49 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

NAM is a very snowy run. 

Its getting there. 8 miles SE and lock it.

These anafrontal things seemingly always trend to juicy frontal passages that are unremarkable. There are exceptions but not something to bank on.

Lol, frontal systems suck.

10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

GFS is EXACTLY best case scenario. 

Amen to that

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Chiming in from snow-starved Harrisburg. Excited to follow as you guys get hammered with this late week system. Jealous! 

Same. Although not as excited as you are.

3 minutes ago, vortmax said:

Impossible? Is this standard wording for a WSW?

Been seeing it too much lately. Drama.

8 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Euro would be 12 to 18 for most of forum. With ratios

Pretty much exactly half of it

Lol TWC has me inline for 13-23"

26 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said:

So much nicer!  (For down here)

I also endorse this run. Just need a little more QPF but I'd sign as is. 

12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Control run..

I get basically nothing, but the control is usually amped to Toronto so I'll take that as a win.

1 minute ago, rochesterdave said:

We’re gonna have to rely on the eastern lobe of that HP this run. Will it hold? 

It's so far away still, you're going to go crazy analyzing every GFS run lol.

Just now, CNY_WX said:

Amounts drop off fast south to north over Montgomery County. 

Yeah man, I'd rather be NW as opposed to NE regardless of whatever the worthless ICON shows lol. 

3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Inline with Toms thinking of BGM on the second wave. I like it. Spread the wealth. 

Almost like I made this map in my garage.

1 minute ago, 96blizz said:

Waaaay NW from 0z. At least we stopped some of the bleeding the other way. Is now the time we go too far NW?

Been way too far NW for me as is. This is DOA.

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Need 8 mile SE shift.

3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

it looks either anafrontal to me or overunning. Wave forms along front, which is anafrontal. You can also argue overrunning because cold high in place which is aiding in the heavy precip due to sharp thermal contrast 

Definitely more of a anafrontal event to me which is the problem. 

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

Ag3ed you

Is he still around? 

3 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Mixed feeling about hanging on [email protected] for the midweek event, parsing 10 mile wiggles in global model output. And it's Sunday, we're well outside the 1-2 day "lock it in" period.  On the other hand, it's what we do.

All signs point to a mixed glop here near Haus Sizzle. But better than the purifying 3 day meltdown advertised not too long ago.

Yeah looking like I need to hope for sleet this far east. Not interested remotely yet and won't care until Tuesday even if it was showing 2ft. Frontal systems like this suck.