Ericjcrash

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Do a 12z side by side for weenie comparisons. 

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

It would take a massive move to get 6-10 to Albany at this point. I get being persistent with the forecast but that would be an epic model bust. An all-timer.

Yeah, and I know this. At this point I'd be absolutely ecstatic with 2-4"

40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I cannot wait till morning when everyone has 4-8 or even 6-10 back to Alb 

Lol, I'll smoke that shit too. I'm weenieing hoping for some dramatic NW shift that's never coming.

1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said:

Why are we bitching so hard? It looks like we'll get at least a moderate event, and we haven't had basically anything yet... Why so attached to the romantic idea of a bombing coastal, crawling and doing loop-de-loops south of Montauk? Not every storm has to be +3 sd intense. Just enjoy the several inches and be glad that it's snowing in the daytime.

It's early, but definitely a post of the year candidate.

Maybe squeak out an inch of fluff here, I'll take it as my last dusting is gone.

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think I'd rather an Albany jackpot scenario.

Me too. 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

SREFS are always like that.

Too aware. Just curious 

47 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

9Z SREFS are a toaster bath for most.. Holy amped Congrats north and west on those

Maps?

You guys are locked and loaded for at least a 3-6" deal. If guidance would stop chasing convection it could get really fun.

RGEM and especially NAM really try to get it to snow here. Another shift from 06z to 12z that there was from 00z to 06z and I'd be in business. Grasping at straws.

1 minute ago, rochesterdave said:

E12 please. 

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

I started my weenie career on Bill Evans forum. 

A lot of us did lol.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Eps  has some big members near the coast

West 

Tuck it!

On 11/25/2021 at 9:31 AM, uncle W said:

 

Crazy that Keneely left the business 

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

And this kinda happened 4 years ago today. 

January 4, 2018 Blizzard (weather.gov)

Very underrated storm. One of my favorites. Nothing like blizzard conditions during the daytime.

2 hours ago, nycwinter said:

well central park had no snow and even without snow with this air mass would have been in the single digits 25 years ago..

Yeah, no. -8° 850s with no pack and you expect single digits? 

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

Some people are thinking whiff or bomb, but a light, plowable event is another plausible option. The initial mid-level fronto could setup fairly far NW and slide through most of the NE even if the the trof never sharpens up and the coastal misses mostly offshore.

This, probably the most probable outcome. 1-3" almost regionally. With potential for a whole lot more towards the coast.

Time to stick a fork in it unless the Euro shows some miraculous improvement. Flat flat flat.

There's the LR NAM, but that's about it. Yes I'd rather have it to far SE at this point but ugh 

Almost out of time, looks like a 95 special. What a week for the mid Atlantic. I've officially jumped off the ledge. 7 very dry degrees and places that have been around 70° this week will have had 2' within 6 days.

14 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

18z Euro has the shortwave a little more north so far thru h75. Hopefully that translates to a better solution downstream.

Need to see 90h

18z ICON is almost a perfect carbon copy of today's storm(weaker, but similar reflection). Lol, still better than it showing nothing.

6z GFS and ICON have nada late week. Still such a spread. Euro/EPS encouraging but I'd like to see a lot more agreement. 

Flakes made it to Pensacola. 

1 minute ago, tim123 said:

Brings a inch to nyc. Lot of dry air

Yeah, can see Montauk getting 6" and the city getting a dusting.