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Leelee

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Everything posted by Leelee

  1. Leelee
    Winter is basically over. It might get cold in March, but snow is pointless then other than for counting stats and being a nuisance.
  2. Leelee
    I moved to Amherst last year. I'm quickly getting used to this area not being great for snow. GFS from like 300-384 hours has looked great most runs for the past 2 months. It might pan out someday.
  3. Leelee
    It's because of the complete lack of lake effect this year. I don't remember it ever being this bad, even in 2011-12 there were a couple LES advisory hits for the Buffalo area. Synoptically, it's been very active for the Buffalo area.
  4. Leelee
    I wish I understood what KBUF NWS is excited about. This looks like your regular shortwave through the Ohio Valley to me. This must be how normal people feel listening to my weather babble.
  5. Leelee
    From my conspiratorial eye, KBUF will underestimate the marginal temp synoptic events (which is all we've seen this year) and overestimate lake effect events. But they also do those maps that are always too high.
  6. Leelee
    I wasn't to begin with, so I'm pleasantly surprised we should get an advisory snow without slushy mess.
  7. Leelee
    Yep. I forget that there's a lot of folks well east of me here. The only part that would have me excited is if the Friday snow shifts west, which won't happen.
  8. Leelee
    And following that doesn't look much better. The SE ridge isn't budging in any long-range ensembles.
  9. Leelee
    I don't like to be the early doomsayer, but I really think this winter is officially gone now. May as well bring some early 50s.
  10. Leelee
    I remember '15 February where temps never got above freezing and the entire 2nd half of the month was below zero. I was very grouchy.
  11. Leelee
    So, even the best of these ensembles would translate to like a few inches of slop at lower elevation. Bleh. We need cold and LES somehow for once this year.
  12. Leelee
    No, a pattern change to below average temps will happen by late February, just in time for sun angle season. And then we'll get a snowstorm on Easter, to bookend unseasonable events with Veteran's Day.
  13. Leelee
    There was a day with 10" snowpack this year? I guess the Veteran's Day event barely got there at the Airport.
  14. Leelee
    It's been snowing since sunset in Amherst, but very little, maybe a dusting overall.
  15. Leelee
    Yes, but when there's cold air, these usually miss to the south/east of us unless there's clippers/rare Ohio Valley "runner" west of the Appalachians (I don't know the term), at least in WNY. It sucks only hoping these storms hit this year because we're getting near nothing in LES, and that isn't changing any time soon. I moved from West Seneca to Getzville this year, and I think I've gotten more snow just due to latitude and NW Huron flurries.
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