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capitalweather

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  1. This is exactly right... Our objective to explain to people the range of possibilities.... while also giving them a sense of what we think is most likely, based on our experience/analysis. This is all in the spirit of helping them prepare and make decisions, manage expectations, understand the best/worst case, etc. Of course, we aim to get it right and we take pride when we nail a tough forecast... But ultimately, our goal is to serve our audience and make them understand the forecast and complexities so they'll be ready whatever happens.
  2. This is just nonsense. We grade ourselves and put most of our emphasis on our most likely call -- not the boom/bust which is the fine print. The boom and bust are just provided so people understand the full range of possibilities and how our forecast could go wrong. Go back and read any of the postmortems we've written over the last 5-10 years in which we've evaluated our snow forecasts after the fact. We hold ourselves accountable to our most likely call. Our approach has been praised by the top people in the profession.
  3. Um-- we issued a map for 1-3" along with detailed discussion and fully explain why our forecast is what it is. and we give boom/bust scenarios because that's the responsible, scientific thing to do when you have an uncertain situation... https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/02/05/washington-dc-snow-superbowl/
  4. Where do you get interhour temps? Thanks for any info and belated thanks for water temp info that I posted on CWG. - Jason, Capital Weather Gang

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