This is exactly right... Our objective to explain to people the range of possibilities.... while also giving them a sense of what we think is most likely, based on our experience/analysis. This is all in the spirit of helping them prepare and make decisions, manage expectations, understand the best/worst case, etc. Of course, we aim to get it right and we take pride when we nail a tough forecast... But ultimately, our goal is to serve our audience and make them understand the forecast and complexities so they'll be ready whatever happens.