BuffaloWeather

Our attention then turns to a rather potent clipper system, which will move from the Upper Great Lakes this evening to the Ottawa Valley by Saturday, with a trailing cold front crossing the eastern Great Lakes early Saturday morning. The clipper cold front will produce a burst of snow showers and possibly snow squalls with its passage. The clipper cold front will become lake enhanced northeast and east of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, producing a few inches of accumulation across Western NY and the eastern Lake Ontario region late tonight and early Saturday. Cold air will quickly deepen behind the cold front, with lake induced equilibrium levels rising to around 10K feet over Lake Ontario with favorably deep cold air and moisture. The latest model guidance holds flow westerly over Lake Ontario for roughly 6 hours on Saturday. Given the favorable thermodynamics and convergence down the long axis of Lake Ontario, expect a band of heavy lake effect snow to develop. The band will briefly cross Jefferson County including Watertown in the morning, then focus on the central Tug Hill from mid to late morning through late afternoon before moving south across Oswego County and weakening by early evening. CIPS analogs, pattern recognition, and high-res guidance suggests the potential for warning criteria snow amounts on the Tug Hill Saturday. With this in mind, a Winter Storm Watch for lake effect snow has been issued east of Lake Ontario. The clipper will also produce strong wind gusts Saturday. Winds will peak near the cold frontal passage over and northeast of Lake Erie Saturday morning, with gusts of 45+ knots possible. Forecast soundings show enough wind aloft to potentially support a brief period of low end warning criteria gusts across Western NY, but the fact that the low begins to fill as it passes our longitude suggests an advisory event. Regardless, it will be very windy and the combination of a few inches of snow and strong winds will produce extensive blowing snow. It will stay windy through the afternoon, but gusts will come down to around 35 knots or so areawide.

What time you think will have the best band going across tug tomorrow? Want to time it best I can.

Pretty strong clipper for tomorrow with lake enhancement

Gotta get props to KBUF for this event. They called the very little freezing rain. It transitioned to sleet quickly and snowfall amounts were spot on. Great forecast. The models spitting out FZA were all wrong.

KBUF was spot on in their 3-5" call Niagara county

After almost 2" of rain picked up more snow than I thought 3.5" of slush when I measured this morning.

All snow here

@SouthBuffaloSteve Loved the timelapse! Went to the gym instead of chasing ice. I'm not patient enough to sit there until it unleashes.

Heavy sleet outside right now.

Pretty good storm on GFS for next week

Todays model runs all went pretty far NW last minute which makes sense with Toronto with jackpot.

So much rain, sump pump cant keep up and having a little basement flooding.

Manchester beat their record by 7 degrees today. A few records broken from 1883

Harlem is closed all the way to Walden avenue I don’t remember that ever happening

This too, lots of streets closed down due to flooding. My sisters garage flooded they need an entire new one now. It’s pretty bad West Seneca - Water rescue teams being activated to evacuate residents in several neighborhoods with excessive flooding. Teams are putting boats in the water. Water rescued teams are assisting in evacuations in the Lexington Green neighborhood and the area of Harlem and Mineral Springs. Harlem Road is being closed in the a

Multiple residents and cats being rescued at this time (8:55pm) Additional water rescue crews are also wrapping up a rescue operation for residents in the area of Electric and Casimer in the Kaisertown area.

Had to have like 2” of rain today. Some serious flooding occurring West Seneca - Water rescue teams being activated to evacuate residents in several neighborhoods with excessive flooding. Teams are putting boats in the water. Water rescued teams are assisting in evacuations in the Lexington Green neighborhood and the area of Harlem and Mineral Springs. Harlem Road is being closed in the area.

Yeah Toronto is jackpot location for this

33 here in Hamburg. Line stalled out over Canada Ohio upgraded to warning lots of ice. Thinking 1-2” of snow/sleet here with .25-.3 freezing rain.

I'll be driving the 90 into the tug on Saturday. Going to plan it out so I get in the best stuff.

Spot the front

Thats awesome. Think it will be going on later this afternoon?

Everything is gone here besides piles and we had 3-4" of SWE in the snow here. Had a ton of rain, has to be over an inch.

How long does battery last on the gopro? Mine dies after a few hours. I used it for a tough mudder race and died 2/3 through it.