Wxtrix

1 minute ago, Chase said:

Snow chasing at my parents' in the Shenandoah Valley.  KLUA (Luray Caverns) bottomed out at 23 last hour, but is up to 25 now.  Local PWS stations also rising. 

It's over. 

c’mon Chase—have faith!

6 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

The Casino isn't a bad chase idea either.  The euro does make me a bit nervous that you mix, but I still feel pretty good about the event there.

i'm ok if it mixes for a bit because I really want thundersleet. and if the thump the GFS and the NAM had at 0z happens, even better. we were in the Keys for the January 2022 storm, so it's been a while since i've seen a decent snow.

if you're chasing to Thurmont, you need to eat at Chubby's.

Advisory: Winter Storm Watch until 07:00PM Saturday

Dear Nixle User,

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations in excess of five inches, and ice accumulations in excess of one-quarter of an inch are possible. 

* WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, central, northern, and northwest Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. 

* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Saturday evening. 

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* AFFECTED AREAS: EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY ... CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY ... ROCKINGHAM ... SHENANDOAH ... FREDERICK ... PAGE ... WARREN ... CLARKE ... GREENE ... MADISON ... RAPPAHANNOCK ... NORTHERN FAUQUIER ... WESTERN LOUDOUN ... NORTHERN VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE ... HAMPSHIRE ... MORGAN ... BERKELEY ... JEFFERSON ... HARDY ... WESTERN GRANT ... EASTERN GRANT ... WESTERN MINERAL ... EASTERN MINERAL ... WESTERN PENDLETON ... EASTERN PENDLETON

 

38/22 with flurries

i still have hope.

9 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

See that’s the evasive jibber jabber that helps models stay incompetent

You are un successfully trying to parse  that each 6 hour presentation is not indicative of upcoming weather but rather a “tool” Tool of what and for what? Why predicting forthcoming weather of course, see tool and Kaos  get thrown around during deflections 

models don’t predict. people do.

i’ll enjoy these point and clicks while they last:

11 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Do you (or anyone else who knows) mind explaining how someone would be able to read the soundings to determine if it looks more white than wet, or the basics at least?  

https://thecloudonline.net/blog/basic-skew-t-analysis-snow-or-no-snow/

there are dozens of sites out there, depending on how in-depth you want to go.

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Alright my math teacher is making me get up in front of the class and present about the weekend storm, anyone have any idea on what to say because all I got right now is that there are currently 3 scenarios (strong storm but too warm EURO/ICON, strong storm and cold RGEM/CMC, weak and cold/weak and warm GFS/NAM) and there no way to know which one will happen. I have till 11:08 to prepare my statement... 

did she ask us to write it, or you?

Just now, North Balti Zen said:

Oooooooo. I can't wait to second that when the motion is made during new business. 

i thank the gentleman from North Baltimore for his support.

i move that everyone is henceforth required to use the description “Mason-Dixon Line” when discussing the snowier areas north and west of the cities.

12 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

This would be a really good storm for WV panhandle/Winchester/Westminster and even some areas to the east of that line

all of the signals have been solid out here for almost a week now--I'm starting to get optimistic.

40 minutes ago, nj2va said:

12" ribbon in my back yard. it's nice to dream about.

so far the storm is matching up with the NWS experimental products from the end of last week that showed areas west of the Blue Ridge getting the bulk of the snow.

imagine being mad that a model “gave me less snow”.  NONE OF IT IS REAL.

i wish object permanence could be taught.

5 minutes ago, Kay said:

I was trying to remember if I used this sn there (not my name). Maybe I did!

i think you did. or maybe i’m connecting you with your other name, if that’s what you used? same difference.

16 minutes ago, Kay said:

Same. No one remembers me from Eastern as I mostly lurked. I think I joined in 2009 bc, you know, but had already been reading. Have learned so much reading over the years.

i remember you from eastern.

4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Haha. Didnt know that. Can you imagine the temper tantrum he threw when that happened?

he said something really crude to a female poster. he was always crude toward women here, including me, and I celebrate his permanent absence.

38 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

DT?  I bet he lurks now and again.  

he's banned.

fwiw, I'm interested in this storm. it's been a while.

i wonder if anyone else saw this on Friday:

flurries here

a dusting on roofs, cars, and grass that melted at dawn.