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SolidIcewx

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Posts posted by SolidIcewx

  1. 15 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

    The low of 78 at Detroit breaks the daily record and is the warmest low since July 5, 2018. The all-time warmest min for Detroit, set 5 times, is 80.

    I had to explain to the lady at home on why the ac would stay on even if set higher. It was really toasty last night

    • Like 1
  2. 4 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

    Some people not really expecting severe weather could get quite a surprise if the Derecho keeps up steam 

    It’s been awhile for a super long track derecho. See how it plays out.

    • Like 2
  3. Mesoscale Discussion 1349
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0238 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

    Areas affected...northern IN...southern Lower MI...northwest OH

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 434...

    Valid 181938Z - 182145Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 434 continues.

    SUMMARY...Northern, fast-moving portion of a QLCS should progress across the rest of northern Indiana into southern Lower Michigan and northwest Ohio through early evening. Damaging winds should be the main threat, but a tornado or two will be possible. Downstream watch issuance expected by 21Z.

    DISCUSSION...The northern portion of a QLCS has been steadily progressing east around 45 kts with a history of estimated to measured gusts of 55-70 mph. This fast-moving portion of the line has likely outpaced stronger low-level shear across southwest IN, per comparison of VWX and IWX VWP data. Given largely veered surface winds downstream and recent HRRR guidance, an outflow-dominated line will likely persist as it spreads into southern Lower MI and northwest OH through early evening. Damaging winds should remain the primary hazard, with a tornado or two possible in any QLCS mesovortices across northern IN.
     

  4. 2 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

    Boy if everything can really clear out by 3...

    The stage is set folks, especially with SRH off the charts

    Im very curious to see how today plays out. Wonder if it will clear out a bit up my way. Had snow showers and sleet this morning. Some good rumbles of thunder and heavy rain. Let’s see what this evening brings

  5. 8 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

    Can clearly see the RIJ blasting into this line. Impressive bow echo for late March

    If we had summer thermos I think I’d be safe to say we’d have a big problem on our hands.

    • Like 1
    • 100% 1
  6. 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

    Weird watch gap for NW Ohio/SE Michigan rn, you'd think they'd wanna hurry and issue one considering the storms are like less than an hour out

    Im thinking the same thing. Kinda odd considering the MD that came out for the area

    • 100% 1
  7. Mesoscale Discussion 0305
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0249 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

    Areas affected...Southern Lower Michigan...Northwest Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

    Valid 301949Z - 302145Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

    SUMMARY...An organized line of storms with a history of 60-85 mph wind gusts will continue into western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Risk for damaging winds will continue with more isolated/uncertain threats for large hail and tornadoes.

    DISCUSSION...An organized line of fast-moving storms continues northeastward through central/northern Indiana. Modest destabilization continues ahead of this line into portions of western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Given the organization of this line, potential for severe/damaging gusts will remain even as buoyancy tends to wane north and east. This line of storms has a history of producing wind gusts of 60-85 mph. Damaging winds will likely remain the primary risk. Isolated large hail could occur, but storm mode will mitigate that risk. Likewise, storm mode is also not optimal for tornadoes. Regional VAD winds and RAP forecast soundings do suggest some QLCS tornado risk will exist, but this risk diminishes with eastward extent. One or more watches will need to be considered for portions of western Ohio and southern Lower Michigan by 21Z.

  8. 3 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

    Hope he doesn't have a social media page with followers....

    Dreary, drizzle with overcast. Not seeing much this far north but who knows. We seem to get the best storms when we least expect it around here.

    ENH now up into the thumb. Looking better for us as the day goes on. Just need some peeks of sunshine.

    • Like 1
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