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About SerialDerecho

  • Birthday 05/14/1979

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Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    Charles Town, WV
  • Interests
    severe weather/tornados
    computer programming
  1. March 20-21 Potential - STORM MODE THREAD

    I am somewhat surprised they havent hoisted watches for at least the northern tier, and West of the BR. In the past, they have put them up for borderline events, if only to drop them to advisories later on. Edit: well, nvm. some are rolling out now.
  2. Feb 8th-9th Obs/Discussion Thread

    Its 4-6" for Jefferson CO. The Tuesday forecast lists the total...not additional.
  3. February 16-17 Storm Threat

    If this is off topics, please move. How do you quantify model confidence? I realize that with this storm, models were all over the place until yesterday. That in it self leads to "low" confidence. But how does NWS convert that into, for example, 30% confidence as opposed to the needed 50% thresh hold?
  4. NWS Product Debate

    That's not over my head at all, but thanks for being condescending yet again.
  5. NWS Product Debate

    Yea, how dare LWX issue such "preposterous" products/forecasts.
  6. Biggest Storm of 2014 Nowcast/Obs/Disco

    I can confirm the grass is white, but roads still wet in Frederick
  7. December 2013 obs and discussion

    One helluva heat wave here in Frederick: (time sensitive) http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.41278435673064&lon=-77.4209976196289#.UrMPSicmTd4 9:45 am reading is 194F. the good news is the heat index is only 111.
  8. Winter storm 12/8-9 Observations/Nowcasting

    4.9" in Charles Town. still snowing, but looks to be mixed a little bit.
  9. Winter storm 12/8-9 Observations/Nowcasting

    Really been ripping in Charles Town, WV the last our. beifly had some sleet mix in about 10 minutes ago, but now moderate snow again. 4.4" so far.
  10. December and a Hint of January Pattern Discussion

    Puts us in a deep freeze too. I'll gladly give up the chance for any thanksgiving winter fun if it sets up a pattern anywhere near what the GFS spits out for Dec 1-10
  11. Oct 9-13 2013 nor'easter obs/disco

    6.03" since Wednesday evening.
  12. March 6th Storm Banter Thread

    They are 3 hour precip totals, but the forecast is in 6 hour increments.
  13. The March 6 Storm- The (last) Great White Hope

    I thought the same thing. With that said, that looks really reasonable to me given the start as rain, and the surface temps.
  14. Late February 2013 Mid-Long Range Discussion

    I'm willing to bet it will become a sheared low centered over the GL by the time all is said and done.
  15. Hurricane Sandy

    What does the JMA say?