Obd2011

Thank you for the response! Much Appreciated:)

South central pa here! Our forecast for this wed-fri thing went from 10-15 36 hrs ago to 4-8, then 1-3, then dusting of full out nothingburger. Now back up to 3-6 in last few hrs. Snow started steady at 7:45 with no mixing & holding steady. Looks like a coastal low has exploded off the southern Carolina coast since 9pm & is on the move from what im seeing on the latest satellite imagery? What the cheese is going on? I recall seeing one model back on Monday runs showing this outcome but it was swiftly tossed in the trash bin... bernie rayno said storm likely wouldn’t make it much further north than the mason Dixon line, but clearly that scenario proved bust bc its pounding here in cumberland county. I don’t see a southern shift on radar. Thoughts??

Hello! Is anyone seeing the coastal low exploding off the southern carolinas in the past 2 hours? I don’t recall hearing any mention of that being even a possibility in any forecast scenarios discussed from nws, accu, bernie rayno, etc... i just looked for some of the early week model runs to see if any predicted a low forming and found one, but apparently it was quickly disregarded as nonsense. Im in the south central pa area where they said 36 hrs ago 10-15”, then yesterday it went from 4-8 to 1-3 in 2 hrs, to Bernie rayno saying a dusting or nothing because storm would stay south on or just across the mason dixon. its been snowing steady here since 7:45pm with no mixing. Radar shows heavy snow continues throughout pa moving slightly ENE. Now the dusting nothingburger they said to expect is modified to 3-6” in the past hour. Any thoughts? 10-15 changed to nothing, changed to 3-6, coastal low forms that was never mentioned, radar & satellite imagery plus real time observations dont line up with the forecast? Id appreciate another pair of eyes and opinions. Maybe im missing something? Thanks!