Beach Snow

18z GEFS is a great hit for most of NC except western mtns.   Still snowing

Control run

So far with this storm it seems the euro ensembles have been the most consistent of any models

18z euro

6 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

No hope is lost until the RGEM has a say so

RGEM sniped both storms 

18z GEFS 

11 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Yeah, seen a lot of folks mention the Christmas 2010 storm in comparison to this one.

I hope so, we ended up with 14” in SE Va

Canadian ensembles big shift from 0z

Let’s hope the Euro is wrong again on this storm

Canadian delayed today?

7 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Need a UKIE update

Not much of a storm at all

CMC coming in nice!! We got a storm to track!!

12Z GEFS looks great compared to 6z

10 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

It looked to me like the Canadian northern piece of energy was digging a bit more in the past 2 runs.  If that trend continues, then you may get your wish.

Yea i just noticed that as i went back to look at H5 and the ensemble maps.  Definitely a noticeable trend.

6 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

So how would you feel if you were banned from a board, then were told you would be allowed back, but then never hear anything back about it, still can't post 10 days later, and when you try to contact someone to get it cleared up you never get a response?

When were you banned?

Would really like to see the Canadian model jump on board tonight with the threat. It also did a really nice job with yesterdays storm in the 5/6 day range. Very consistent 

not much if any ensemble support for that run which is likely to happen this far out. biggest thing is most ensembkles have a storm!

8 minutes ago, jlh said:

Yep, its looking good. Starting to stick to the pavement up here in town.

Radar starting to look weak, we need to get some backfilling going here in NE NC and SE VA

6 minutes ago, chris624wx said:

Yeah looks like it's starting to fill in in south Chesapeake/VB. Hopefully that's a good sign. I am worried the Norfolk might be on the NW edge of the heaviest accumulations as this thing ramps up.

Agree, was worried about that here in Chesapeake. Short range keep expanding precip west but at the same time its cutting QPF each run

29F light snow Chesapeake, VA (SE VA) 4 hours ahead of the 18Z NAM and HRR model suites…. Could surprise us all

More and more models coming in with drier QPF i think this is going to be a big bust 

The precip has expanded but the qpf has decreased for nearly everyone… kind of odd