ineedsnow

Started a thread so I don't clog this one up anymore

Models showing the potential for a major Noreaster discuss.. 1) heavy rain and potential for urban and street flooding given ample moisture and lift (low level jet of 60-70 kts at 925 mb!). Ensemble means are painting a widespread 3-5 inches of rain through Wednesday evening while some deterministic runs show as much as 8-10 inches. Though widespread amounts of this magnitude are unlikely, it is a concerning signal/trend, and urban/small stream flooding is a concern. The ECMWF probability of 4 inches of rain is 70-80%! (and 30-60% chance of that much within 24 hours). One additional concern this time of year is fallen leaves clogging storm drains, exacerbating street flooding.

Not spamming at all the potential is there 1) heavy rain and potential for urban and street flooding given ample moisture and lift (low level jet of 60-70 kts at 925 mb!). Ensemble means are painting a widespread 3-5 inches of rain through Wednesday evening while some deterministic runs show as much as 8-10 inches. Though widespread amounts of this magnitude are unlikely, it is a concerning signal/trend, and urban/small stream flooding is a concern. The ECMWF probability of 4 inches of rain is 70-80%! (and 30-60% chance of that much within 24 hours). One additional concern this time of year is fallen leaves clogging storm drains, exacerbating street flooding.

a little bit of frost again this morning

just hitting peak here

0z EURO is 5 to 9 for most

NHC with a 20 percent chance now

20.65 was the highest I found in western Franklin county on the Ukie

ukie has some 20 inch amounts ummm...

3 yes 6? Seems like a general 3 to 4 and its not our area maybe the cape?

0Z GFS keeps the high amounts offshore

Northeast MA lol

6 to 10 plus much of SNE only place that gets much less is SW CT

still raining at hr84 that would be a disaster for SNE

0z NAM is Euro rain amounts wow!!!

Ryan @RyanMaue · 27m The potential for a very powerful Nor'easter is increasing for Tues/Wed of upcoming week. The track of the developing Low Pressure will determine if / where hurricane force wind gusts impact the coast including Boston. Yes, this is a major bomb cyclone.

some of the GEFS members were even more impressive

Just saw the Euro control run YIKES!

starting to think this will be epic for someone.. staying up for the 0z models tonight never thought I would but these are eye opening

if the EURO is right then

JB hyping now lol Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi euro with a devasting scenario for New England as it explodes offshore storm off very warm water and hooks it back into Southern New England. Certainly on the table given pattern and big midweek problem lurks

18z EURO gust map has got to be overdone as usual!