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BYG Jacob
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Everything posted by BYG Jacob
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This storm has had a consistent EEL signature for basically the whole day. I would bank on the storm still intensifying.
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That’s up there with the batshit drops from Dorian/Irma/Maria, and that’s the weakest quad.
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The insane SFMR was in the storms weakest quadrant.
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154 FL and unflagged 176 knot SFMR, may also be a bit lower than 914 given the wind reading it occurred with
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It’s hard to tell for sure, but it appears there is a touch of a northerly motion.
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Not in the Gulf
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Rita at 895
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Not great bob
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The mother of all EEL signatures
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I’m not sure, the shear direction aligns with the storm motion. The models probably just got it wrong. EDIT: I’d like to hear from a meteorologist about this, I understand Jet = dead storm lul, but most storms aren’t moving East.
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Pressure and FL winds supportive of a category 5
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A hallmark of a legendary cane
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Flagged 142 knot SFMR, but unflagged 136 knot and 139 knot FL. Almost a category 5
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933 extrap, an insane rate of intensification
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982 on the dropsonde. The only issue I can see are the highest rain rates are in a band outside the developing eyewall
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Pressure is going to bottom out as those get ingested while the eyewall contracts
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Finally stopped puking out outflow boundaries. Looks much better right now.
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Took another gulp of dry air
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Not sure if that’s subsidence from convection, but RH values that low aren’t going to cut it for a major hurricane, and that is getting pulled into the core of the storm
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Helene is still dealing with mid level dry air, you can see it on WV and dropsondes
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Looks like it finally managed to pinch it off, just a matter of shoving out whatever is left.
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