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Rmine1

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  1. Wow, thunder and lightning in Brightwaters!
  2. As I sit here in SW Suffolk green with envy as the line of thunderstorms disappear crossing onto LI.
  3. Zero is a stretch, but 2-4 inches is absolutely off the table
  4. 100%. I suspect Upton will make major adjustments to their forecast next update
  5. Expectations quickly changing for the island. First batch will obviously miss, all bets remain on the stuff in Pa. Not the setup that brings the big rains
  6. Agree. Expect LI to get a quick hit from whatever is left over as the front slides east. Sorta like a transitioning tropical cyclone where the center passes west of LI, and we end up with very little rain, while inland gets crushed. Better dynamics, and terrain lift.
  7. Yeah LI will be predominantly some moderate showers. Hit or miss type of stuff. Just like the last event.
  8. “Something” in this setup usually means a quick shower as the front runs into stable air
  9. Looks like things are dying as they march east, which comes as no surprise for most of LI. Especially, along the south shore in western Suffolk.
  10. There’s some serious flooding in the Babylon, West Islip, and Bay Shore area. I’m in Brightwaters, where there are several underground streams. Basement flooding is going to be a major issue for the area
  11. I’m in brightwaters, and it’s absolutely pouring
  12. South shore LI looking good right now. Heavy rain
  13. Looks like the bulk will slide south of LI
  14. Does the stuff in Pa slide east? Or SE and then western half of LI stay completely dry?
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