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Brian D

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Posts posted by Brian D

  1. 4 hours ago, King James said:

    Regardless, the grid is going down at some point soon, by hook or by crook. Hope all my weather friends have fresh water, canned food, candles, batteries, and God. 
     

    Goodluck friend . 

    Grid instability is a possibility with this event. I've seen aurora cover 2/3 of the sky around here when I was younger, and different colors from green, red, and even purple. The lights stayed on then, but you never know. They're just giving estimates on strength of hits, and some have fizzled, and others were a total surprise. If you start having higher end X-flares with halo CME's that start combining, then we are in big trouble. Start brushing up on your Mad Max movies. :lol:

  2. 7 hours ago, SolidIcewx said:

    That sunspot is a beast. 5 CMEs in the past few days. The next couple days can’t go fast enough so it turns out of our direction. July 2012 we missed a massive almost carrington style solar flare missed earth by 3 days

    Yeah, it looks like some of the first CME's are going to combine as they hit us, with more behind allowing for an extended event with auroras this weekend. Forecast looks decent, so should be clear enough around here tonight. Looks like I might have to pull an all-nighter. I don't have a smartphone, but I do have a digital camera, so will try and get some pics. I think it has video, too, but never have used that function. Might try that, too.

  3. 0.19" of rain moved through today. Sun has broken though, and now temps up a little into the low-mid 50's from upper 40's early this afternoon. Nickels n dimes on the rains, but it keeps the needle slowly heading upward. 

    • Like 1
  4. 0.29" of rain yesterday, and very nice today with gusty W/SW winds. Temps in the upper 60's - low 70's. Started off with dense fog along the shore, but that lifted pretty quickly this morning. Looks like the first mowing of the grass will be really soon. Almost to that point right now. :) 

     

    • Like 1
  5. Friendship Day looking pretty decent with most of the sub under the influence of HP. Looks like a boundary may affect the southern most part of the sub. W areas could get a little on the hot side with a boundary in the Plains.

    Friendship day forecast.gif

  6. This could be an interesting run in the coming months with Ruang in Indonesia blowing it's top. If we are going into a neutral/La Nina phase, this could possibly have an effect combined with that. Kind of like Hunga Tonga combined with a rapid swing into El Nino. It takes a few months for things to swirl around the globe, and spread out. Good YT vid, along with ISS vid showing ash from space.

     

     

    • Like 1
  7. Next up is Father's Day, and I'll also include Juneteenth, as it is only 3 days after.

    Expecting a system moving through prior to Father's Day, with CA HP clearing things out briefly, before another system encroaches upon the sub. This will be affecting the sub around, and on Juneteenth. Mid June looks wet, and stormy as we approach the Summer Solstice.

    Father's Day forecast June 16.gif

    Juneteenth forecast map June 19.gif

    • Like 1
  8. On 3/7/2024 at 2:24 PM, Brian D said:

    On May Day (May1st) looking at a front moving through with chilly air behind.

    May Day May 1.gif

    Was a little too quick in bringing in HP, as more energy rides NE before HP arrives with drier, cooler wx for a couple days. Could get cold enough for frost in some areas. Then another system(s) moves in next week.

    May 1 forcast chart.gif

    May 2 forcast chart.gif

    Early May forecast charts.gif

  9. About 3/4 - 1" of rain around here so far with scattered showers in the area. Next round slated for tomorrow into Monday. My deceased son's b-day tomorrow. Getting together with family. Going to be an ugly day, as winds will be running 30-40 off the Lake with the rain starting around midday.

    • Sad 1
  10. 21 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

    What does showing the coldest Aprils on record (1874 over 10F colder than avg) have to do with noting the unusual nature of this mornings cold? The record low was missed by 2F and again, as pointed out, the dewpoints were unusually low. Im well aware of the planting guidelines (they say Mothers Day, not Memorial Day) but theres little you can do with trees established in the ground. 

     

    This marks the 5th consecutive year that the last freeze was later than avg

    2024 (Apr 25)

    2023 (Apr 26)

    2022 (Apr 29)

    2021 (May 1)

    2022 (May 13) *only May 10, 1966 saw a colder temp so late in the season than the 27F on May 9, 2020).

    Seems the last 2 years, April 25th has been a frosty one for you. Last year it hit 30. 28 & 30 are top 5 temps for the date. And your right about damage to fruit trees. The milder wx this month helps those buds pop a little early, so temps like this hurt. Even the 24th was top 5.

    April 25

    1892 - 26

    1919/67 - 27

    1934/2024 - 28

    1875/1974 - 29

    1883/1941/72/2023 - 30

    April 24

    1874/75/83/92 - 27

    1909/19/30/71/2015 - 29

    1918/27/96 - 30

    1888/1907/67/99/2024 - 31

    1974/89/2005 - 32

    • Like 1
  11. 4 hours ago, Brian D said:

    Gust front moved in off the Lake. Winds picked up some from 5-15 to 15-25, and temps went from 54-55 to 39-40 in 30 min. Currently light/misty rain falling. BRRR!

    Sun came out, and temps recovered to the upper 40's. Rollercoaster day.

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