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Solidsting

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Everything posted by Solidsting

  1. With current GFS, the difference of mb with 4-5 inches and 10 is 10 miles. Over in Ypsilanti look like 10 but go down the road a tad half that. Going to be fun as all hell can’t wait to go outside. Probably not driving but I’ll go full Eskimo .
  2. Everything looks great models seem to be inline. hope this sucker hold together thru michigan
  3. Wow this is insane. Slept on the forecasts last few days but noticed this morning at work was unusually humid. i wonder if Detroit will be in the firing line??
  4. ahh everything is coming together good. what are the chances of the line holding all the way to Detroit?
  5. Now thats interesting.. I wonder what the next SPC outlook is going to be. Potentially a very active day ahead.
  6. hmm you got a good point. but with the uncertainty in the models it looks like another not so straight forward event. pretty dynamic atmosphere going on like june 10th. if the first batch dont stabilize too much i do wonder also if maybe a secondary MCS would come along?
  7. it dont look great for SE mich, unless its taylored to a more easterly direction and not propagating southeast
  8. of course things changing for the worse. one good blower for wayne county and ill shutup for the summer
  9. Ahh nice to see yall again. hope this time around don,t disappoint like that moderate risk day did. would not surprise me tho
  10. wayne county looks like its only getting light stuff. some bull. the line in canada looks good along with the one south in ohio.
  11. yeah i have noticed that too. for some reason they dance around. even kinda looks like it this time around too. hope the development to the south gets stronger
  12. im not far from there so im gonna head out. that line east looks slow moving. im looking at the storms at the indiana ohio border to hit where i live
  13. now that i think about it i wonder what the chances are of a 2nd line of storms forming in front of the approaching cold front?
  14. on the name note it mentions how lapse rates are lowering. i dont like that lol. i want the worst to come out
  15. yeah last night the cams went off. even had PDS TOR in my area i was very suprised. but i figured they would favor a more linear mode anyways just knowing how the weather up here is
  16. ahh the wind is fine by me. the area around metro Detroit just continues to get even more unstable. people on the weather channel even commented on that. nothing but hot sun and a occasional cloud where im at
  17. i know right? even tho things look good i keep praying everything holds true. i have been wanting some big boomers for several years now
  18. yeah i remember the one in toledo, that was a good weather day but sad a strong tornado hit structures. yeah your right we have had some pds be complete flukes. im just hoping the cap stays till 3pm so it gives the best chance of strong storms in SELM. if things get spicy i might go out and do some chasing myself later
  19. yeah i seen that. if storms are going nuts this early i wonder how much a difference 4 hours is gonna make when we go into the evening hours
  20. holy shit 85 mph winds out west? if thats not a potential sign of things to come idk what is. im curious to see what the nam and hrrr say here in another couple hours. i hope a line don't form too early and use up the available energy
  21. i was outside drinking my coffee and as of 1130 the low level clouds here are breaking up. lots of sun starting to poke thru. i see a line starting to form sw of indianapolis. i wonder if thats the start of the main line that will blow thru northern ohio and southeast michigan later on today.
  22. im hoping this spell breaks. i know soundings last night indicated a pretty good tor chance due to speed shear. went from showing pds tor now to just tor. gonna be a fun day i cant remember the last time we have had this kind of threat. and im surprised stuff already initiated so early west of here. should be a good sign i just hope a line dont go thru too early in the day
  23. huh yeah this is kinda coming out of nowhere. i was looking at soundings 12 hours ago and thought to myself just maybe. now its coming into fruition. kinda intriguing how its suddenly transpiring like this. the soundings for my area look pretty gnarly for the 8pm time slot. right in prime time. cant show the soundings but heres the link. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=sblcl&rh=2020061000&fh=24&r=conus&lon=-83.38&lat=42.28&metar=&st=619c2178a9c0064e747d5e43a6a64e26
  24. yeah they fell apart. i was pretty sad. i was hoping they held together but like as mentioned the outflow got way to ahead of the storms. now the mid atlantic got our derecho
  25. alot of these models seem to be off. looking like its anyones guess. hopefully the storms congeal and hold together
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