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MuddyWx

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Everything posted by MuddyWx

  1. Big takeaway is the GFS blows lol it took so long for it to output what other models were showing days ago
  2. Jokes on my friends going to the Caribbean- why go all the way down there for a warm Christmas when you can just stay?
  3. It's discussed a bit here with the GFS a couple of years ago, with an issue they are trying to correct with the upgrades - "progressive bias with synoptic scale systems." https://www.cwb.gov.tw/Data/climate/Info/seminars/20210615_17_4th_TWPGFSDW/1-1_20210615_Fanglin_Yang.pdf There's probably more stuff out there, but the progressive / SE bias has been noted with a lot of these systems the past few years on here
  4. 18z euro handled the TPV similarly to 12z through 90h, end result probably would have been similar. and still way different than the GFS
  5. Still west of 12z and 0z will be west of 18z.. GFS playing catch up with the other globals
  6. I know there's a long ways to go, but not ideal that the east-biased GFS is closest to what we're looking for
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