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Posts posted by MarkO
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19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:
heh... both I guess...
Well.. the refusal to just phase the N/stream and capture this thing, collocate ...do the Fuki Wara as that happens, then the two trundling away into the graveyard SHOULD be happening, but the models refuse to do that...
So what are they going to do with all that uber cold mid level trough closing off ...centered over roughly the PA/NY region?
As that migrates over head ...the coastal storm seemingly violating physics in moving from inside it, to outside it ... all the while, vestigial jet-stream velocities continue circulating underneath... coastal storm aside, this latter evolution is typically found in the vicinity of Norlun events.
So I was quasi kidding there with the Norlun but I suppose it wouldn't be ridiculous if one sort of got going...
Someday (if not already) computer models will show the fluid dynamics in a 3D giving amateurs like me a better understanding of what's actually going on.
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7 minutes ago, weathafella said:
Opening a brewery tomorrow? Let’s see what beeries will brave to get a brew.
They're hiring today for opening at the end of the month (I believe), but they're already brewing. I just hope they have backup power.
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24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:
Looks like Jan 2005.
Got friends who live in Osterville. Looks like they're going to get crushed! Timing not so great as they're opening a brewery.
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Nearly every model seems to have that trailing 700mb vort off the Georgia coast tugging it out to sea and preventing the surface low from really winding up near the benchmark. I somehow find that hard to believe for a bombing low in that vicinity, or is this not that unusual?
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I might head up to Cannon tomorrow morning. I "think" (hoping) it's going to be snow above 2500'. I've been sitting at 29 ski days for almost a month. I've never reached 30! NAM trended colder.
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Heading up north to do some spring cleanup. Also hoping to see some snow mix in at higher elevations. I'm thinking there's a decent possibility some snow may accumulate above about 2500'. Thoughts?
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subsidence setting up between 128 and 495?
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radar starting to fill in. Of course it's got a screw hole going down 495. I hope it's not a sign of things to come.
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Someone should start a storm specific observation thread.
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8 in Lowell. Ratios should be pretty good, but will wind affect density?
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Makes it real hard to collaborate a pretty map when you get one office running nude through the streets.
This is probably an exercise in futility considering most people around here, but folks really need to beware of some caution flags. I'm not saying this won't be a great storm, but locking in record totals from NYC through BOS is dangerous. If you check BOX's experimental snowfall graphics, their most likely total is only an inch or two lower than the maximum, and 10-15 inches higher in some cases than their minimum. That to me says it all. We (as an organization) got a little carried away and started forecasting totals too close to the maximum possible rather than the most likely.
I like thinking about it in terms of the HPC graphics. I can't post graphics right now for whatever reason, but in essence 3 out of 4 forecasts are greater than 18 inches, and 3 out of 4 forecasts are less than 27 inches. There's maybe the range you should be thinking about, rather than 24-36 inches.
Appreciated
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For those who get 30" of fluff...just remember it will look like 10" in about 3 days.
Epic NNE Debbie Downer, lol.
Deflate gate?
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Lots of NYC weenies spotted on the George Washington... clasping deflated balls
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Lock it up!
Is Ginxy in that jackpot?
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Look at the RGEM that was just posted. I'd say so.
The RPM model (I think) that all the met's have been using cornholes us. Personally, I'd rather see it come northwest for the mountains, but I'll take an easterly solution that pushes the subsidence east and jackpots the Merrimack Valley
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RGEM is a very viable model
Wagons east.
ASOUT
That's good for us, right?
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I didn't think it was too sick until I noticed the vaseline on the hotdog
March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland
in New England
Posted
Off topic, but I kinda figured it was coming. In civil engineering field, we're slowly transitioning to 3D using drone imagery, etc.. I use a product called Pix4D.