NC_WX10

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Lost connection to my home camera in North Hills. Assuming power's out. In Garner we missed most of the wind but it's pouring.

I am off of exit 289 and had about 2-3 min of heavy rain and hail and then completely stopped. Lost power momentarily and went back to a mist. Very weird how I had hardly anything with how impressive that line looked

8 hours ago, AsheCounty48 said:

My thoughts on winter at this point: how many days til spring? Looks like I'm gonna be moving away from the mountains in May and cant get more than an inch or two. Maybe we will get lucky, but cant really get within a week of something nice in prime climo.

Enjoy your last few months up there man. I left last May and live in the triangle now and would move back in a heartbeat if I could. 

12z GFS shows a little back end snow on halloween for the higher elevations. 

Thanks for all the replies. I'll definitely have to look at those options. Really wish I could move back to Boone but just not many job opportunities there.

After moving to Raleigh after going to school at App. Looking to move back to the mountains. I've been looking at areas that would be commutable to Asheville. Any recommendations for areas to look? Would like to live in a smaller town and of course the colder and snowier the better.

Wow lightning and thunder right now in boone. Really surprised me 

Really hoping we start as snow with those returns to the south coming out way 

Kind of surprised no one is talking about the last few runs of the gfs and FV3. Shows some good accumulation for some of us in the mountains before the changeover to freezing rain and then rain.

Just now, Tyler Penland said:

I've seen some sleet pellets and snowflakes mix in. Not much yet. Coming down decent at Walmart right now.

 

 

Are you buying the HRRR at all? Keeps us as snow for a decent amount of time 

1 minute ago, Tyler Penland said:

ZR just started in Boone. Hope the roads hold up for a while.

Thought we would start out as snow. Kinda surprised 

12z Gfs delivers the goods 12+ for a large portion of the central and northern mountains.

Just measured 13.5". 

8 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

Just woke up. I'm not sure how I'm gong to measure it, everything is severely windblown. And my car is not going to be leaving its parking spot for a few days thanks to the plows.

My average of measurements was 12".

10 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said:

11” in Boone. Weather Channel truck selfie

They were just discussing totals and said they felt 20" was a very good bet

just over 10" now. Short range models are still giving us over an 1" of precip today. Think we may make a run at 20" if all goes right

Anywhere from 6.5-7 for my last measurement of the night. Really liking the trends on the short range for tomorrow. 

4.5" and counting. 

I know its kinda late to look at the nam at this point but man does it look sweet for us. 

1 minute ago, Boonelight said:

Thanks for the info. Didn’t mean to sound like a downer. Where are you in Boone? Near downtown?

No not at all I always worry about the radar when it gets to gametime. and I'm out on 105 by the bypass. 

Just now, Boonelight said:

2” here just outside of Boone. Little tiny flakes.

Radar looks great. Our rates will really go up in the next hour or two. 

Just over 2" and coming down nicely. Feel like we're right on track for our expected totals 

1 minute ago, AirNelson39 said:

Still a raging virga storm here in Boone. Saw a friend doing a live feed on Facebook in Vilas, few miles west of Boone and it’s snowing there.

I've seen a few flakes on the west side of boone but that's it. Should be soon 

HRRR looks to be drying up some now compared to those crazy runs earlier 

1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said:

And I'm on my phone in the field again instead of on my laptop so I could be perceiving this wrong, but looks like the HRRR is actually slowly increasing totals.

Yeah it is. Has us at almost 2" through 26 hours 

Just now, AsheCounty48 said:

12k NAM with 2 ft for Boone still at a 10:1 ratio....given ratios during the height will be higher than that. *As I mentioned earlier, still discounting the 12z Nam slightly altogether*

I saw that. Starting to get a little worried about the warm nose. I think we stay all snow on the 12z euro but it's close