ChesterfieldVa80

3 minutes ago, griteater said:

Beyond laughable 

I'm not buying the evolution of the precipitation shield on the NW side as shown on Euro. 

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

12z CMC Kuchera

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Thanks.  It even gets good snow all the way up to south of Richmond 

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

12z CMC with another good run for the foothills,  SW VA and S VA

Do you have snow map for cmc?

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Has all the snow ended after that image?

Yes. The ULL falls apart over western NC and the VA highlands, leaving spotty light precipitation east of there.

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

0z ICON looks solid for northern NC,  Southern VA 

Does it get snow into south central Va? Farmville area?

The warm layer at 850 doesnt make since to me across South Central Va on 18z euro. There was some good QPF across Southside and I was shocked when I saw it didn't translate to snowfall across Southern and South Central VA

Closing in on 7" in Bryce resort.

6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

First shovel done. Picked up .8 in past hour. 1.4 total. Coming down nicely. Man did I miss this. And I cant get pictures to work on this site. Sorry. 

 

You should do nicely. 3" here at Bryce resort so far. 

3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Man. The 3k is even better. We might mix for less than an hour with sleet. But the soundings before and after that are beautiful. 

I'm headed to Bryce resort now. Im thinking they should do fairly well with this setup. I hope

Taking the kids to Bryce resort in Shenandoah County to see the snow. Hoping for a solid snowfall.

I've been watching this event hoping for a round of snow showers/light snow. With the latest trends and living 15-20 miles south of Richmond I'm now trying to temper my excitement for something more..

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

Since I am already irritating everyone:  I will take the 10-30 % chance depending on where you live for late next week.

When snowshoe has only a 30% chance I think we know where we all stand...

At least the Allegheny front in West Virginia looks to do well with upslope/weak wave this weekend. It's the weekend so I'll take my kids so they stop begging me about when it's going to finally snow here.

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Huggable multi param mean panel... The real fun starts as the whiffs drop out and big hits replace them over the next 4 days. 

Do you have the panel before this? I'm going to be at snowshoe this weekend from friday through Monday. Hoping to score some decent snowfall over the weekend.

Euro doesn't look as good at the surface compared to 00z

31 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

From approximately 25  miles east of i95 on west is 2-4 " . 

Md ,N. Va 

How about the Allegheny front in WV? Snowshoe...

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Lol basically no accumulation unless you are in N MD

Map?

23 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

That appears to be covered in the map above... if my map knowledge is right.

Above is a surface snapshot from European operational 

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

12 Z EPS still not biting over the next 7 days.

What about the mountains in WV? Like snowshoe 

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

There is nothing to make that happen... there is no blocking and the trough axis is way too far west. 

I'm headed to snowshoe next Friday. Do you think this event can be salvaged up there?

I didn't see any mention of last nights GEM. Is this model improving? The run at 00z showed some promise with regard to the weekend. 

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Stoopid south winds at the surface to above 850 leading in is a fatal flaw. It's the reason I've never been in on this one. It's a very depressing event if the gfs is right. Can't buy a winter airmass when it counts this year

If it were to play out like GFS do you think far western areas of VA like bath county could manage a decent snowfall?

3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB GFS 18z. EURO and GFS models are very close this far out.  You have to smell the rain to get the best snows.

Do you mind showing this same map through 228 hrs? I'd like to see the additional snow from upslope event in west Virginia.  Thanks 

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

it actually made some progress from 00z for western maryland i think

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

it actually made some progress from 00z for western maryland i think

From what I see it took a big step back. Looks like rain from snowshoe up through wisp until the upslope event follows the system.