Looking to the skies

Really not expecting anything here in NW Georgia from this weekend's system. I do believe the low will be right over us here and any snow will be a flurry or two with the arrival of the artic cold. But i am very excited for the time period after that. No matter where or how, if the cold is entrenched, then possibilities or there. So it is just a matter of time.

I have a question for you who are watching the operational models instead of looking at the overall picture. Why are you putting faith in something that changes from run to run-- DAILY, not every other day or so, but sometimes 2-3 times daily? It is plain to see , even for just a geek like me without the credentials that Sunday starts the ball rolling with the cold train that has been advertised. After that with the snow that is going to be put down, the cold just gets deeper and deeper. The models are not picking that up, and common sense says otherwise and the big picture does too.... Also we have History and similar years and patterns to go by for us to understand that a Modili winter means moisture and cold for the East and S East....

Maybe it is just because i want it to be so-- But it seems like the GFS is just too warm in the long range outlook. The temps and the systems don't quite match up, or am i again wish casting?

I don't know how significant or any significance -- as far as the CAD but the low to my East this morning in NE Alabama was 19. The cold might be more entrenched than 1st thought?

Hey Guys. This is my 1st post. I live in NW Ga, so in systems like this all i can do is watch and admire. Cad events seldom come this far East. The Blue Ridge rises up just the next county to our East with heights of 3500 and above so they block the air . I will have to just hope for the event about the 23rd to have -nao and ridge to get the cold set up ....