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jackb979

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Everything posted by jackb979

  1. jackb979
    Driving back from Lexington to DC, flakes coming down real hard near Strasburg (roads seem fine though-VDOT was out in force this morning getting ready) dont worry not texting and driving here-i’m not the one driving
  2. jackb979
    CWG upped its totals https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1083925108895424517
  3. jackb979
    Yep-still snowing till around 7pm sunday. I'll take it
  4. jackb979
    0z nam snowfall
  5. jackb979
    Kind of a dumb question: But at what time/what range do the ops no longer become useful? I feel like after 12z tomorrow we'll be in the "nowcasting" stage and at that point the GFS can only tell us so much, but maybe i'm way off
  6. jackb979
    Anyone disagree with CWG's timeline a little bit? seems like they have the onset a little too early (saurday afternoon) and ending too early (sunday morning) when some models have shown this going into 12z and 18z sunday
  7. jackb979
    New CWG analysis with updated map (2-4 for DC metro) https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/01/11/snow-set-blanket-washington-region-this-weekend-forecast-amounts-storm-timeline/?utm_term=.1b80804b86c8
  8. jackb979
    When does the HRRR come in range?
  9. jackb979
    Not bad at hour 54. Like others have said, resembles more the RGEM than the NAM
  10. jackb979
    Maue on the GFS verification since the shutdown (with link to thread) https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1082410281714810881
  11. jackb979
    Seems pretty reasonable. Maybe a little ambitious for area B but nothing crazy
  12. jackb979
    2-3 inches on GFS run for DC/Nova. Good run for Richmond
  13. jackb979
    Northern part of system gets torn up again. Would love if it could get moved up the coast but that'll be tough
  14. jackb979
    aand there's the shear lol
  15. jackb979
    I think a good rule of thumb for these type of things is not to live and die by each model run. A couple hours ago Euro came in and looked pretty great, so did GEFS, and people saying that this is trending towards a major event. Then the NAM has a bad run and now everyone's saying we're going to dry slot and 2-4 at best. Let's see what 00z says tonight and see if a trend is being established, or if the NAM is just off this run. luckily in about 36-48 hours we can watch this thing track across the country and see what's really going on and then we can set our expectations accordingly before the onset.
  16. jackb979
    00z runs will be interesting to see if the GFS is onto something or if that split at hr 84 is just noise
  17. jackb979
    Snow in DC by 00z Sunday
  18. jackb979
    Storm mode starting Friday afternoon/night maybe? don't want to jump the gun too early
  19. jackb979
    How does DC do in the Euro run?
  20. jackb979
    Around what time does 00z euro come out again? around 1/1:30ish right?
  21. jackb979
    Still a decent 4-6 hit for most of the area. I'll take it.
  22. jackb979
    Decent hit on the 18z GFS. around 4-6 inches
  23. jackb979
    Snowing from Saturday night into Sunday evening on GFS. Long way to go with this storm but I'll take it (00z GFS at 132 is $$)
  24. jackb979
    By the way-did we ever gauge which models did the best in figuring out the December storm compared to what actually happened? Only one storm but could be a good barometer for this weekend potential
  25. jackb979
    New DT video
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