Gorizer
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Everything posted by Gorizer
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Good for you Ottawa. You've had your share of synoptic screwings up there!
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Albany/Schenectady numbers are dropping like the Christmas Eve stock market did.
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It's a H-U-G-E difference in calculation for Schenectady County. Holey moley.
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::comes in off the ledge:: lol
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Euro says, "fork you Capital District!" I may have to take a road trip west.
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Congrats central and western NY. You guys are gonna jackpot!
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We’ll just have to see. KALY is disagreeing too now. I’m telling you, nearly every time they say “just south of here”, it makes it to the Mohawk line. “ .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... As of 940 AM EST...Warnings are out as we are in the calm before the storm. Latest guidance coming in has shifted a bit further north with the mid level warm nose which may result in a bit more sleet and/or freezing rain.”
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I don’t think I’d move. There’s a small chance pingers could make it up the Hudson Valley as far north as the Mohawk River, which could include Amsterdam. Glens Falls is far enough north to be safe from that.
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It’s a 2pm tip, so the impact shouldn’t be that bad.
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Yeah, as I mentioned previously, that over running almost always exceeds modeling around here. I may escape serious damage here in a Delanson, being north and west of Alb, even though I suspect we’ll ping for awhile, but Albany proper may lose several hours of peak snow time.
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Still with that taint right to my doorstep.
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BUF- 7 Roc- 17 Syr- 18 Ithaca- 17 Tug- 16 Albany- 19
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I just submitted 18.6 at Albany Airport in an office pool.
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So it seems the Euro keeps the taint well south & east of the Capital District. My head spinning. But I guess it is for all of us really. What a yoyo week.
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So I gather from these latest runs that the chances of taint reaching Albany have gone up. We'd been in the bullseye too long. Something had to give.
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Would have been perfect if they just ended their statement with... "It's just the NAM being the NAM."
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Thanks Mike. We'll see if the GFS and Euro make any shifts then I'll make the call.
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Keeps Albany airport in the clear, as it's in the northern part of the county, but perilously close.
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Wow. I think the RGEM is all alone with that much of a warm fetch. Although experience here is that the warm over running most time exceeds what is modeled.
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So I have to submit an estimate for a snow pool at 2pm today. Closest to the tenth of an inch without going over at Albany Airport. I'd be interested in any thoughts from you guys. I'm thinking somewhere around 20, but naturally I'm waiting on the 12z runs before pulling the trigger.
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That would be my driveway.
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The Capital District... the snowbelt's ugly step child. LOL.
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Looks like Albany/Schenectady area does well no matter which is right. Further south reduces the taint risk here at least.
