JWilliam9830

First drizzle coming down

74/72 and mostly cloudy

TWC has my town getting thunderstorms every day past Saturday and almost every night. Amazing wet pattern we're going into considering how dry it's been. 

Widespread 3-5'' amounts with some isolated 5-8'' to be had according to this map

Potentially our best opportunities coming for a few loud boomers at night so far this year at least after this zipper low zooms up the coast and into your fanny.

The 18z NAM is a little farther east and has a 995 mb low at 21z Saturday.... It then has a ridiculous heavy band of rain and proceeds to go right over my house at 995 mb by 01z Sunday.

Here we go.

The base velocities look concerning on the southern indiana border TW'd cell.

Tor

Radars starting to really pop with many discrete cells near the svr warned cell on radarscope. 

Supercell beginnings... starting to rotate

Edit: The LLJ is kind of hampering the rotation right now, but needs to be watched closely

83/69

a little more humid than yesterday

Rain likely, heavy at times early. High 74F. Winds E at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 100%. 2 to 3 inches of rain expected. Locally heavy rainfall possible.

For Saturday

Another view

From KCCI

Crazy!

Not good... 

TORNADO EMERGENCY

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Des Moines IA 437 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2018 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR MARSHALLTOWN... The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Eastern Marshall County in central Iowa... Southwestern Tama County in central Iowa... * Until 500 PM CDT. * At 437 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was observed over Marshalltown, moving east at 25 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for Marshalltown. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Meskwaki Casino around 500 PM CDT.

This is bad. PDS 

The air is dry here, can the NWS issue a winter storm watch because flakes are falling... off of my skin lol

NAM 3k has trended west again on 18z run

Now has the LP go up the mouth of the chesapeake, and drenches a lot of subforum folks.

The GFS is west at 12z with total accumulated precip but it is also drier in the LWX region.

83/57 

no clouds to be seen

78/62

dry

Pretty good WAR, gets the immediate coastline and New England under those 591 dm heights... Days of rain

weird pattern lol

distant heat lightning has been visible for a few hours now off ocean city maryland

heat lightning far far away imby window

might get an after-dark lightning show if the 2nd round produces 

You would have to travel up probably 55,000 feet to see the sun above the cloud tops...