JWilliam9830

Getting a towering cumulus cloud with a dark base coming from the south imby. 82/78

humid

Some good CAPE values and lifted indices east of the Chesapeake bay that are increasing. Wouldn't be surprised if they expand the slight risk and the MDT risk a little east

4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

MDT ..wow 

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

Looks like C.A.P.E almost gets shafted. Right on the edge of the slight risk.

I'm expecting more than just "a stray shower or thunderstorm", TWC.

2.21'' storm total

75/74

Tree branch down imby.

A very stormy night with east-facing windows getting hammered with 40 or so MPH gusts. Trees swaying like crazy.

73/73 and 2.09'' of rain and counting.

Some convection and a tall cloud top down by the mouth of the Potomac river on the satellite.

1.69'' of rain and the temperature has rose from 69.6 to 73.4/73

humid

17 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

Our snow burst from October 2011 was leading into a nina. lol

It could still snow early and El Nino would still follow. Anything is possible. I hope we get shellacked by snowstorm after snowstorm.

The weather channel is calling for a colder than normal October with troughiness in the east due to El Nino base-state. We'll see if it verifies...

Dry-slotted.

Looks very dry on radar down south. Not quite what the models depicted...

crankyweatherguy is dooming us all.

Edit: Us folks on the Delmarva peninsula. MD's eastern shore.

1.62'' 

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Pushing a foot and ripping. Drifting on the deck. Temp down to 28F

Did you time travel? How much snow D.C got

1.44'' so far and still 70/70

lol 18z NAM has 2 low pressures. Out to lunch.

Just hit 1.00'' of rain so far. 70/70

No way the NAMNEST's 70 kt winds at 850 verifies. 

BP around 29.64 on some PWS's in Norfolk. Looks like the LP can be found right over the city of Norfolk itself and moving north...

Translates to around 1003 mb. Definitely strengthening.

Flood warning for Stafford Co.

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
  Stafford County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Fredericksburg in central Virginia...
  Spotsylvania County in central Virginia...

* Until 845 PM EDT.

* At 247 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain that will cause
  flooding. Two to three inches of rain have already fallen and an
  additional 1 to 3 inches are expected. This will cause creeks and
  streams to rise out of their banks.

.77'' 

humid

.69'' of rain so far 

70/70 RH 100%

The 12z NAM is a 8 mb pressure drop from the 06z run, and probably has a convective feedback issue. Check it out for the lolz