cut

4 inches in Trumbull CT so far. Normal for season is 36 or so. I’m taking the under on that at this point. Although last March I think we got over two feet across 3 or 4 storms.

The clouds are moving briskly but calm down here.

Cigar on the patio. It’s like May right now.

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

wtf

Lowell 60 and Nashua 40? Wild, locations not exact but yah - not far off from what that's showing.

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not sure if the following is applicable buuut,   January thaws were almost dependable in my youth. 

There is a rhyme and reason to why there's an impression in the the general lore of Humanity for the occurrence.  It may not take place every year, but, patterns in general tend not to last indefinitely.  That duh, is A.   B, when they change, they tend to either reset, in which the same paradigm re-asserts its self, or, changes to something new.  Either circumstance is technically a pattern change - just because the original character recommences, doesn't alter the fact. In the former circumstance, if the reset is a cold to cold change, those will tend to be warm(er) during the intervening period of time; which can be variable in length depending upon what is going on in the entire hemisphere at that time. The experience can be profoundly offsetting - particularly this becomes important when acclimation factor get involved. 

Going from highs always in the 30s and lows around 20 (which it hasn't been ..I'm just making examples here ), then, surging to 54/44 for four or five days ..even if misty, will seem like quite the thaw. May even turn the Earth to mud and remove snow pack.   My fondest winter of memory was 1995-1996 for loading cold and snow ..more so it was the latter comparative to climate. Even that one had a mammoth mid season thaw that came on around the ends of January.  

But again...this isn't every year. Some years the reset goes from cold to warm and your skunted... Or, you don't get a "thaw" per se, because it was never cold to begin with...but the new paradigm finally does freeze and snow.  ...  I would say, on balance, most years ... just spit-ballin' from memory, if it gets cold and snowy early ( like pre xmass) ... you're more likely to suffer a thaw, simply by fact that usually you can't get more than 45 days before a pattern has to refit or move onto something new, and those seams time sort of mid January ..  

I'm sure someone with stats and patience can drill it down.  But, we had a nice -EPO cold burst on our side of the hemisphere in early December... and that waned...to sort of a  non-committal pattern really... and now, we move warm.  As others have noted, it doesn't appear protracted?  But it's kind of a battle between the American and foreign ensemble tools in that regard, because as of last night, the American side still wants to Aprilize the country. 

 

I still remember 'Mister G' on 2 New York saying 'generally patters will last 6 weeks' in reference to (I think) that cold period in 93 or 94 when they had to shut down the bridges around NYC to bang off the ice because a chunk had hit a car and hurt someone. The cold was seemingly endless (I loved it).

This would fix us:

Going skiing in February - at this point Im just routing for the mountains of VT to be in good shape for then as it seems they are shite right now.

Just now, moneypitmike said:

This is a knife that cuts deeply both ways.

Totally agree. As a species we will lose our ability to communicate face to face - without syntax and context. Kind of like the people on the spaceship in WallE - but our social skills will the thing that turns to mush instead of our bodies. I am being deliberately over the top here but I am wondering what our next step is in how we communicate and receive information.

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

The natural human behavior to use any reasoning above as a way to deny or prove CC just shows you are dumb we are as a society and that we live in the dumbest time possible in our lives. We’ve become polarized with this topic and it’s become a with us or against us mentality. It’s really sad.  I just want to know what is happening without being polluted by agendas. Unfortunately it’s tough Get non-biased information these days. But I digress.

Truthfully I think social media and peoples ability to now surround themselves with like minded people who lack the objectivity to debate the scientific facts is a big reason. I have friends that are skeptics and I say there used to be glaciers on Kilmanjaro and snow on that year round and they don't really have a response.

5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I recall reading similar articles. I have family and friends who live in Canada. And all agree that the "pond"" and/or home hockey rink season has become shorter. The city of Lawrence for many years flooded the Playstead to make an outdoor ice skating rink. Often times the skating was good from December into March.  I do not recall when the city stopped flooding the Playstead BUT it is very unlikely that the ice rink would be around for as long as it was during the 60's and 70's.

 

My son plays hockey and we have a ton of friends who used to set up the outdoor rinks but they don't bother any more. That being said we have had some really good seasons for that recently - except these last two have been awful. I think last year there were about 10 skate able days and this year none yet - and none in the foreseeable future either.

1 minute ago, MetHerb said:

http://www.nelsap.org/ct/ct.html

Surprised to see Powder Ridge - glad they were able to open again. I remember as a kid always hearing about Blue Hill in North Carolina. Are they still open?

14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I understand what you are saying /mean ... I think..

But for the general reader: one has to be careful with the above line of reasoning. It's used/abused, to negate the impacts of climate change to liberally...almost as a rationalization and denial of truth, because most in the business of doing so have too much to gain or maintain, in not admitting that it is a problem - more over, that it is a problem that all science included, most definitely appears to be human attributed.

That said, there is another danger in the above line of reasoning; it also negates the necessity to use climate trend analysis in the setting of expectations.  If the climate is demonstrating a logorithmic change ( accelerating one...) in either a negative or positive direction, wrt to any metric, it is wise to consider that ensuing period of time in question might exhibit that same tendency in that metric.

Otherwise, there is no problem - the way I see it ... - it assuming events and systems in a case by case basis, independent of that expectation. People have trouble separating those two... but, it's really more like ... if a case ends up warm, and the climate curve is accelerating warmer, ...the probability was > 50% for that in the first place. 

The real problem here is that climate masks causality.  People use that against the climate signal, which is false.

Not you per se... but these are aspects pertinent to the present World, and one's that irk me.

There was an article (Sports Illustrated maybe?? Not sure, can't remember) about the impact of warming on outdoor sports, specifically hockey. They focused on Canada and the number of 'skate days' if you will. That is to say the number of skate able, outdoor rinks per winter day. The decline in skate days was depressingly remarkable. Im sure if applied the same thing to say, snow mobile days we would find similar results. I know skiing here in CT isn't what it used to be and Many places have folded.

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

I work in Stamford too so know your pain. The fun is when I go to my office in NYC talk about different climate!

Stamford as well. Trumbull to Stamford can be like two different worlds, although Trumbull acts more coastal than inland even thought its north of 15.

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

I am SW CT fairly close to the coast. Hoping this comes in warmer to minimize the ice.

I grew up in Easton - it really is like two different zones. Once you get north of the firehouse it is more like a Danbury forecast. Plus the elevation. I lived at the bottom of Sport Hill and we would get like an inch before changeover and my friends up the hill would get a few more.

2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

by early-mid Feb. winter is pretty much history, NYC and especially south. 

We had a big March last year - like twenty plus I think. I’m 55 miles north east of the city

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Listen to this. I got the aura during running one summer morning 2 years ago. It was light out and sun was up, so it had to have been June or July. I was several miles from so had no other choice but to keep going. The aura stopped after the 20-30 minutes and I never got the headache afterwards. The only time that has ever happened. Both my daughters have had one each so far, describing exactly what happens to me. But none for them in a long time. I know they are hereditary and I just pray I haven’t passed these onto them . 

I also have noticed over the years that I get many more in the fall and winter months than I do in the summer. I have attributed that to the stronger HP we get in winter

I got the same - the aura and no headache. Very scary at the time. My doc called it an 'ocular migraine'.

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

That's a little strange to be greeted with that information ... out of nowhere, this morning, that so many in this specific pass-time ( interesting) suffer migraines?   I'm having a bit of a "Devil's Tower Closer Encounters" moment here. 

You know ... I'm in and out of unrelated spheres of friends and acquaintances through life and times.  Along that journey, and exposure to others, I find it interesting that I only know of one other soul that agonizes with these maddening Migraines.  Yet .. out of nowhere ... five of them, here. 

I have stood there and listened to others complain about a headache they once had ... how bad of a "migraine" it must've been. Usually ...when they are commiserating my own suffering, as though they "know what I mean". 

Unfortunately, they don't.  ..because upon some simple questions that all true 'grainers know to ask, ...these were not migraines they experienced..  I mean headaches come in vastly different form and magnitudes, for a variety of different reasons.. Injury, life-style, stress, lack of sleep... underlying illnesses.. I have had headaches for these other reasons...too, though rare.  I'll tell ya -I've had a couple of hang-overs that would stop a third-world government...   But Migraines? They are unique.  

Perhaps there is a link with weather and climate and mood.  It's not that big of a stretch ... For those of us who have sought to understand, researched and/or availed of the greater ambit of medicine know ... Neuroscience is replete with research into mood/behaviors as triggers.  Well, if we're being honest...  weather and climate does affect us ( not just in here, but all of Humanity) in that way. It may not be such a coincidence that the crucible of time has sort of brought us together, then.

Or, it's just numbers and probability. As a rough guess...  300 people in the above context of life-spheres... okay, but this site obviously is exposed to the world...  A slightly larger number, huh.  That may simply parlay.  Still.. I can't help but wonder, based in no small part on my 40 years with these f'n things ...if there isn't a cooperative trigger so to speak... where one may set up the other ...then if other happens, one finds them self over a threshold and... WHAM. 

So my first Migraine occurred when I was 10 years old.  10!  You tend to remember what you were doing, where and when, the first time you realize god has chosen you for Migraine uniqueness.  It was 7 AM, and Jane Pauli was co-hosting "The Today Show" along side Tom Brokaw, on a small television mounted mid way up the wall in my grandmother's kitchen. As they murmured away in the back drop, there was still blackness pouring through the window set over the sink.  Michigan...being western end of this time zone, the late autumn sun rises an hour later than we're used to here on the East Coast.  Anyway, in that moment, I looked up toward the small television and my first in countless aura experiences was just in the initial onset stage.  Half of Jane Pauli's face had vanished... 

Blink blink blink.  Whatever was in my eye, was still there... I tried closing.  I tried rubbing.  Nothing... and it grew worse over the ensuing minutes.. Imagine being 10 years old, and encountering that symptom..  Umm..  I had heard of this blindness thing... Soon the affect morphed from a small blind patch into an arc of what for me ... reminds me of when you are watching cable television and the signal gets disrupted ...? The image "checkers" or distorts in a schism of the frame... But with 'graines it also tends to pulsate or wobble.  The arc grows in length, and it moves from the central region of your visual plain...toward the periphery... And you really pretty much cannot completely resolve imagery within that arc as it travels slowly across.  The total migratory pathway appears to range between 20 and 35 minutes for me, and this is also consistent with known symptomatic spectrum.  

I vividly recall this, and as the middle part of the vision came back and the arc was disappearing ... this was followed by something that I would describe as that seen in "Red Dragon" ...where Hannibal Lector removed the top of Ray Liotta's skull, while Ray was still awake, and began melon balling gray matter ... a cinema the writers undoubtedly borrowed from "Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom" monkey brains scene.  (except they say that actual brain doesn't have any pain receptors ... you get my meaning).  

... So ... the tsunamis of pain. It lasts 4 to 6 hours... for me.  I have read that other can be inundated with pain for 72 hours... I gotta wonder if it is that bad, however, and not just slower extinguishing rate - which they have my sympathies.  I don't actually believe it is possible to suffer that degree of cephalic horror for that much contiguous time.  Because, ...in a microcosm ( which appears to be my form of them...) the height/max of the discomfort is in that first 1/3rd of that 6-hr range... About 2-hours of wondering if your skull is actually just going to detonate like that scene in "Scanners" ( hugely underrated dystopian sci-fi romp from the early 1980s..)  And yeah..there are other symptoms..   Along with this, ...failed description for entirely justifying hatred of god...  nausea crashes the rager..  And at times a 'tingling' sensation in the fingers... I have not suffered the olfactory affects as others, however, I do have the sensitivity to sound. Even conversation volume in the next room seems like a cacophony ... which, it's really impossible to find that kind of quiet solitude during the Migraine cycle/post visual aura phase ...so, that's usually wrapping a pillow around the head and moaning much of the way ... Advil.. joke.  Migraine is not deterred.  

I must echo the sentiments of y'all - I would not wish these on anyone, not as a moral human being.  

There was a two week period in the midst of my teen-age years when I experience a fresh new Mind-grenade ... once per two days.  Different times of the day.. Waking up with aura... Struck with it mid day... While watching T.V. at night... That was a the apex era... Over the years, the frequency dropped... By the time I was 34 years old...I had one, but hadn't had one in the 8 years prior.  I began having them again recently... up to 20 of them over this last year alone... two of which happened within a day of one another. This alarmed me because in the last ten years ... science is suggesting an indirect link between migraine and stroke - though they are not sure what the link is as those two phenomenon do not appear to be the same underlying physiological thing.  Here I am not middle aged and Luke Perry...John Singleton... ?  Dead.  Dropped by major storke, and I'm now suddenly saddled with Migraine recurrence I had though I had "out grown". 

So... I began looking more into the dietary aspects ... and made some changes experimentally, based upon the Tyramine amino-acid/processed foods connection, which is all over the literature nowadays..  Low and behold... I am early in the experiment but abruptly, I have not had one in a month and half... Just from tweaking my diet?  We'll see...  But basically, I took the average of multiple reputable source work's guidelines and came up with a dietary plan that doens't sans too much fun, but compromises in favor of that plan... Seems to be tentatively working. The other aspect... I lost 35 pounds since March.  I work out every day... without exception - I know I know... not everyone can bio-mechanically do that... But, as luck would have it... I can run 4 or 5 miles one day ... do the gym eliptical machine the next, then...take my road bike out and do 25 miles ... and that rotation allows me to do something every day.  It's possible that this life style "reduced" a tollerance I had built up over the years... sort of re-exposing an underlying condition/intellerance to tyramines.   These are amino acids that occur in aged cheeses...  sausage and process meats ...and some vegetables.  Find out what those are... in your diet, and if they are there, and you suffer Migraines... don't f'n argue with this - cut that shit out.  And, get your ass in shape.  One way or the other.  Eat portioned controlled, organice sources where most of your carbs come from complex sources, and your meats are fresh - like ... gobble gobble to gray is better.. But obviously not everyone can find farm-to-table sources...so stay away from any meat in a box or plastic wrap.  That's a good start...   

I have had 2 migraines - one being of the ocular variety as you described above. I was sitting with a client editing music on Pro Tools and all of a sudden my vision appeared to be looking through a drop of water in my left eye. The portion of my vision being effected grew for about 10 minutes or so and then it seemed to 'thin out' and go away. I never really got a headache with that one but went to a doctor as I was really concerned about what had happened, and he said that in some cases a migraine can occur with no pain. The second time I got one it was after a fall and I had hit my head - I instantly got that same vision anomaly and a screaming headache - to the point that I was nauseous, and no it wasn't that I had concussed myself as it wasn't that hard of a blow to my head.

In a few instances I have had a headache that was accompanied by that dizzy, which way is up feeling and a bit of nausea, but they never led to full on migraine.

I have this weird thing called Miniers Disease, which is a really bizarre inner ear condition that can cause vertigo to appear at random and in a flash. I have really only had that happen once, but I usually have a somewhat ambiguous sense of which way is truly up. This is eased by watching caffeine, sodium, and alcohol intakes.

9 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It's a ridiculous fad and contrary to what constitutes good brewing practices.  This is not to say they are not good brewers and they definitely make some tasty beers but the New England IPA has become a parody of itself.  Brew me a clean crisp pilsner and I'll rain down praise.

A lot of their beer is just too much. We have a place down here called Two Roads, and they have a few really good beers, but a lot of the stuff is over bearing.

9 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

The 8 or 9 before compaction and sleet is the correct measurement, not after compaction and sleet.

I would say there was 8 on the ground in Trumbull when I shoveled at like 7. It was above the rise of the steps (which is 7.5 ") by a bit so I am going to go with 8 inches at 7 AM.

19 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

I'm curious to see James forecasted amounts after his great call on this most recent system. 

My parents had 2 or 3 inches in Orleans this morning!!!! Woootwoooot

10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I am shooting for 12!

Hah- Im probably sitting at like 10 on the season here in Trumbull. Worst ever.

Wind is here - instant roaring thru trees. It was dead calm 10 minutes ago.

Just now, Lava Rock said:

I'll make sure my wife wears sunscreen while she's working

I've never thought of the radiation aspect of flying - though it makes sense as the earths protective layer is thinner up there - just like Mt. Everest.

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Cut, just so clear... that is a different rooted phenomenon to what Ray and I were just discussing... You may be using that other discussion as a segue but, that's different phenomenon. 

 

No relation? It's interesting none the less as we cruise towards solar minimum.

Just now, cut said:

I was checking space wether earlier today, the radiation load at flight level is ridiculous right now. Airline personel are now limited to 20 hours in the air a week to limit exposure. The Northeast flights are also the most 'radiated' flights in the country.