Ian
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Everything posted by Ian
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Current three winter stretch is the snowiest on record for Dulles, VA (since 1963) at 122.7". Number two is 65-66 thru 67-68 with 105.5".
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Think this is still king for me since I've been here. Rank: Feb 5-6 2010 Jan 2016 Dec 2009
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Pattern progression: http://imgur.com/lD6lFdU
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Put together a bunch of images for CWG: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/25/the-12-best-meteorological-images-of-the-blizzard-of-2016/ One in there people might want is the Euro comparison.
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I'm sort of in awe of how many giant storms I've seen here. There were times when 20-30 years would pass between. There's not much like a crippled city in a snowstorm. It actually doesn't rank all that far behind a good Texas tornado (still fairly behind a KS one).
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We have so much more data access now than even 09-10. I have a folder with 483 images in it so far. Saved every Euro run at 500mb, sfc plus precip/snow for past week.. precip/snow for GFS. I've been in a number of big storms now but I think this one is near the top. Walking around today I think I must have undermeasured... worse than Snowmageddon by a bit at least.
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Here are inititalizations of the GFS.. should be as good (think that's what most reanalysis is these days anyway). Grabbed so much model stuff in leadup. Still going thru tidbits etc pulling things.
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Aggregated the daily loops from wunder:
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I saved the full LWX doppler for it. I need to figure out how to put it together and where to save it since it'll be huge.
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Play around with this it has basically everything once you figure out how to pull it http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org
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2015-16 goes down as latest trace on record for DC. Still none. 01-02 tapped out today.
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DCA finally made the 20s this eve. Latest on record passing 12/23 in 2012.
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Looks like this should go down as the third warmest year on record for DC*. 2012 61.5 1991 60.2 2015 60.1 1998 60 1990 60 *you know the story
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We need to get Sep.. 1881. That one should be next.
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Now also 7 months of the year since 2001 with a record high monthly temp at DC Mar 2012 May 2015 Jun 2010 Jul 2011 Oct 2007 Nov 2001 Dec 2015
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No trace of snow yet (through end of December) in DC. Only has happened in 01-02.
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Yeah may be worth some more examination. I did this a while back too.. obv doesn't include this Dec. Here's NYC:
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This month yo
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I pulled a few years for DCA but none were that high. May look again later.
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Yeah that looks right.. 11.9 per ACIS.
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Today's 12z plug in for DC: Euro: 51.9 GFS: 51.0 +11 to +12 month? lol.
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Also on track to finish in top 10 warmest years at DC.. tho not sure how we handle the sensor question on that one.
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Was about to say NWS forecast is 63 now Christmas Eve morning. GFS/Euro suggest it's above that thru midnight. Even possible we get it two days in a row if Euro is right.
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Yeah I think it's pretty much a lock though I haven't run 'cold' numbers to see what we'd need to miss it.
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Jebus look at these MOS numbers for Thurs. 38 degrees above normal at BWI.
