Utvols235

Nashville folks... thoughts?


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OHX has WSW starting at 6 pm for most of middle TN. Certainly looks like it’s going to be here quicker than that.


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Freezing rain in Lebanon


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Spann just put this on Twitter


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Has anyone kept up with how things currently look vs how the models had them at this point?


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I’m getting pretty concerned were looking at a big ice event for Nashville.


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How reliable are some of these models this close? Is it best to follow the hi-Res models at this point? Complete noob speaking here


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[mention=15971]Utvols235[/mention] Could you link where you found that slide?

Was on Twitter




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I would place that in the storm thread.  Great find.

Yup just realized i posted in the wrong thread


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If this made me as miserable as it seems to make him I would put it down for a while.


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Been a tough year for Nashville/Mid TN for sure but have two chances (obviously our best in the two years I’ve been in Nashville) to cash in this week. Really good opportunities for something to happen. If models are showing me half decent chances tomorrow I’m going to start getting pretty excited.


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Thinking this is west TN and middle continues its streak of Nada.

Do you have anything positive to say? Always doom and gloom man


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OHX

Early this Friday morning, temperatures were mainly in the 27-32
range with patchy freezing fog/drizzle. The fog was most dense
across the Upper Cumberland. Much of the surface moisture left
over from yesterday had dried up thanks to steady north winds, but
any lingering moisture had likely frozen. With all this in mind,
we have issued a Special Wx Statement highlighting the potential
for ice, especially on elevated surfaces, continuing through the
morning rush hour. For the daytime, skies will remain cloudy
with a chilly north wind. We have lowered forecast high temps
several degrees from our standard model blend, more in line with
the colder NAM guidance.

Through this forecast period, we will be dealing with several
winter wx events that could have significant impacts on travel. An
arctic air mass will continue to be centered over the Upper
Midwest and extend down into Tennessee. As the arctic air mass
sprawls southward, the cold, dense air will be more shallow. This
will maintain our current setup of cold temperatures at the
surface with warmer air several thousand feet up above the
surface. With each expected disturbance through the next 7 days,
the warm air aloft and cold air near the surface will result in
mixed wintry precipitation. At times, the atmosphere will be warm
enough for all rain, and at times the cold air will become deep
enough for all snow. But lots of transitions will make
forecasting exact amounts and impacts very challenging.

The first system will come late tonight through midday Saturday.
This system will track to our southeast and spread moisture up
across the cold air already in place over Middle Tennessee. We
think freezing rain will be the result, but the big question is
how much moisture and precipitation will occur. The latest models
show very light amounts, mainly over the southeast half of our
area. No headlines will be issued at this time, but later today or
tonight, a brief Winter Weather Advisory may be required for
localized travel impacts.

The next system- a much stronger one- will impact the area late
Sunday through Monday and Monday night. This will be a
transitioning system with mainly freezing rain / ice to start,
eventually changing to all snow with accumulations possible.
Details of this complex system are in question at this time, and
model cycles leading up to events have not been very consistent
this winter season. But, significant travel impacts are likely, so
we will highlight that in our Hazardous Wx Outlook and social
media posts.

Yet another round of wintry wx is expected late Wednesday and
Thursday with travel impacts possible.

Other than the winter wx potential, the next 7 days will be very
cloudy and cold. Temperatures will average 10-20 degrees below
normal.


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Would like to thank you guys for all the input. I’ve been following for years. This storm definitely has become more concerning for me in Wilson Co. (definitely making a run to the grocery tomorrow) Worried how we are this close to an event and all of the High res models have a different line. This season has brought a lot of unexpected across the region and I don’t think that’s going to change this week. We are in for a wild 24 hours to see what’s going to happen. I wish everyone the best.


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Special Weather Statement
for Davidson County

Issued by National Weather Service
Nashville, TN
2:05 PM CST Tue, Feb 9, 2021

...Freezing Rain and Light Ice Accumulations Possible Wednesday Night into the Day Thursday...

Potential for freezing rain and some ice accumulation is possible for areas mainly north of I-40 starting late Wednesday evening through the daytime Thursday. Up to around a tenth of an inch of ice is possible, mainly on grassy and cold surfaces, with the best chance for ice accumulation after midnight through noon Thursday. Temperatures will be right around to just below freezing during that time, with most road temperatures likely staying just above freezing. Widespread power outages and tree damage is not expected, however, slick spots on elevated surfaces may occur. Stay tuned for forecast updates on this evolving weather system.


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4 minutes ago, AMZ8990 said:

Assistant Superintendent.  We’ve got two 18 hole courses so I run one, and my superintendent runs the other course.  

Memphis National?

Used to be AGCS in Knoxville and Atlanta. 

Massive flakes in west Nashville 

36 in Lebanon with snow. Yes I shouldn’t be on my phone but can’t help myself 

34 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

41 for me now, woot woot.

Did you drive from Atlanta @Utvols235 or do you live in Crossville? 

I’m living in Nashville now. Up on plateau tonight for work. 

39 in Crossville... atleast that’s what the car says 

Glad it’s panning out for everyone. Absolutely nothing here in Nashville.