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TampaMan

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Everything posted by TampaMan

  1. I fully expect precip to be out of Richmond by 4-5pm.
  2. Hey man, I would love to be wrong. I'm just sharing mine and @RIC Airport non-professional opinions. Short-range models are not amplifying precipitation rates around here.
  3. Latest short-range model projections indicate that his statement is true. Snow will wrap up in Richmond between 4-6 pm. Possibly earlier.
  4. I would love for your arrows to be correct but it won't be pushing any decent rates past Petersburg. If I'm wrong I'll take you to Hooters.
  5. This is why I wanted to lower my totals to 1-2 inches yesterday but already did my "final" call of 3-5. 1-2 was always much more realistic. Before those in Chesterfield say anything, yes you will end up with a bit more than Richmond.
  6. I'm going to be the first to say it, this will be a bust for Richmond. Luckily, we set our expectations low yesterday. While yes, the numbers 3 up to 5 were thrown around I just don't see that happening. Those bands we expected to come North have no shot of making their way here. I may be alone but @RIC Airport may agree with me. We need to enjoy the next few hours of light snow we have because that's all that we will get as far as moderate precip.
  7. Radar is splitting open, not a good sign. Not so sure those "heavier" rates will make their way up here. They will likely set up shop right around Petersburg and SE.
  8. It does look like West of Richmond it is attempting to gather strength.
  9. Still have moderate snow about 5 miles South of you. These rates aren't going to cut it. Despite being in the 20s it seems like it is melting. The roads are all just wet now (my untreated neighborhood road at that). I think 1-2 is more likely for Richmond. 2-3 is reasonable in Chesterfield.
  10. The climate, the wind, several variables. I'm not an expect, I just imagine this isn't going to perform the way it's portrayed. Just a gut feeling.
  11. After further in-depth evaluation looking at models and the current radar on my PC, out West it does seem to be drying up. I'm not so sure even if the coastal does push moisture that it will make it up this direction. We are in a very thin line for room for error right now. All TV Stations have potential to be bust, even NBC12. We will know more within the next hour on what will happen.
  12. IEM :: Current & Historical IEM NEXRAD Mosaic Loop Imagine this happening randomly. (Stolen from storm thread).
  13. I don’t think VB will be getting those totals depicted on the maps. They could but I’m very doubtful. I’d say they are more in line to get 5-6 inches.
  14. 3 inches is very much a decent event for RVA considering the last 5 winters.
  15. For those worried about the radar take a look at the current hours on the HRRR and active radar. In about 2 hours we will see the backfilling.
  16. Even my non treated neighborhood roads are melting. This morning at 7 am they were covered good.
  17. If you look at the radar there are now better bands to our north and west.
  18. Latest HRRR is feeding more moisture into our area. Expect at least another 4 or 5 hours of snow.
  19. It is starting to fill in all together should start pushing NW slightly as well. 3-5 is a good estimate for Richmond.
  20. It should pick him here in the next hour or so and continue to do so for the next 5-6 hours.
  21. Precip is incredibly light. We may have issues if that’s the case. Seems like it’s taking forever even for .5.
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