Now that I watch the GRAF again, dry slotting could become a major issue as it usually does for us. Will it stay south of Chester is the real question.
If this verifies, (your predictions @mikeeng92). I'll personally venmo you for every inch I get here 3 miles east of Short Pump.
Edit: Excuse me, I'm 5.2 miles East of Short Pump.
Oh, I still think I'll get 1-2 inches. Ashland will definitely see upwards of 6-9 inches. IF temps hold, Short Pump will see 5-6". I live 3 miles from there. I'm still thinking we start later and switch over earlier than anticipated.
The GRAF isn’t great for anyone south of the river but it bodes well for short pump, tuckahoe areas. Obviously RIC is east so I do expect the airports total to be lower.
This actually looks really good for Richmond. Has it snowing heavy until around 5 pm or so. Those 6” areas can definitely be achieved if accurate. If this model verified I’d be sitting at 6-8” here about 3 miles east of Shortpump.
Final calls everybody. Let’s hear em. Richmond Metro.
I’m going with 1-2 inches of wet sloppy snow with a quick turnover to sleet/freezing rain by noon to all rain by 2-3 pm.
The HRRR seems to hold the cold air steady over us for the duration of the heavier bands of snow. The NAM hates that idea and puts essentially ALL sleet / freezing rain on us. It’ll be a mix a both.
As much as I hate to say it, I’m leaning more towards .5 - 1 inch. I’m not meteorologist by any means. I just know what happens here and continues to happen… warm air. I hope I’m wrong and I’ll be so excited if I am. I just have a gut twisting feelings about this one.