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tim

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Posts posted by tim

  1. 1 hour ago, lee59 said:

    As was mentioned earlier, the Lake Effect is going to be in full force this weekend. With, apparently a WSW wind, the areas around Buffalo and Watertown seem to be in the bullseye.

    ...yeah..who's going to Buffalo this weekend.?..Euro has 18"..GFS has 2-3 feet..and oh yeah..the Bill's are home..

  2. 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

    heavy rain backing in from the northeast, you don't see that often

    Yeah...we had rain all day out east..now a sharp clearing coming in from the EAST..very unusual..

  3. 8 minutes ago, lee59 said:

    Local weatherlink station in Riverhead now showing ENE wind and temperature went from 91 to 88 in last few minutes.

    ..yeah..still 87 here in eastport..that's pretty darn hot for me..

    @ beach today..wind N'erly..HOT!..wind went S.. cooled nicely...h2o v.cold..upper 50's?..still got in..lol!

  4. 2 hours ago, psv88 said:

    Anyone City and east cannot complaint about this winter. Most from Eastern Nassau out east are at or above total seasonal average snowfall totals. 

    Nice 3-4" from this overperforming event. 32" here for the season is outstanding on February 14. Anything from here on out is house money.

    Still snowing and 29 in NW suffolk, 3.5" down

    ..about the same out here..29.3°..snow sticking on streets w/ no more solar influence..

    Maybe Bill Evan's was right..poss 5" in spots.

  5. 7 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

    You're not going to do too bad yourself. Time to get the snowblower and liquor cabinet in order. 

    ..what about the "stall" or "loop" that was being mentioned?..alot of the future casts show the snow shield booking east pretty quickly..not to be picky or anything..just wondering your  thoughts on that..

     

  6. 11 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

    The Champ just became one of the Chimps.         The heaviest snowfall area has shifted from Cape May to Eastern LI in two runs.        I have been cut in half from yesterday's  18".      Could be game over.        NWS hardly even mentioned snow and certainly not a blizzard possibility on KWO-35 this morning.        This run makes them look like stars.

    1643565600-tRudCWjBICM.png

    ..still pretty good for us easterners.

     

  7. 41 minutes ago, Doorman said:
    SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
    
    ***Quick hitting system to bring snow Thursday night into early
    Friday***
    
    The main story for this part of the forecast will be coastal storm
    system forecast to bring snow overnight Thursday night into early
    Friday. There are still some differences in the forecast models with
    the NAM being a weaker, farther south/east outlier while the GFS
    continues to be a bit fast. Leaned towards a blend weighted heavier
    towards the 12z GEM Reg / 12z HRRR/ 6z NAM. These models are a bit
    stronger with the low and farther N/W compared to other guidance
    that`s trended a bit farther south/east over the past day or two.
    However given the set up of a fairly robust upper level wave and the
    history of these types of systems tend to favor this slightly
    stronger solution. Bottom line, we have become confident enough in a
    fairly widespread 2-4+ inches of snowfall accumulation to issue a
    Winter Weather Advisory for most zones, excluding the coastal strip
    south of Monmouth Co, NJ and the southern Poconos where
    confidence and amounts are a bit lower. Also, sleet and even
    some rain could mix in near the coast.
    
    In terms of the details, deepening low pressure moves northeast off
    the Virginia / NC coast Thursday night in response to a strong upper
    level wave moving eastward from the Great Lakes region. Snow
    overspreads the region west to east late Thursday evening into the
    overnight (mostly after 10 PM) with the heaviest precip likely
    falling in the 1am - 7am period. While our official snowfall
    forecasts remain capped to the 2 to 4 inch range for much of the
    CWA, there are a couple important things to note: 1) This will be a
    fast moving system with snow falling over just several hours that
    will unfortunately coincide with the Friday AM commute. 2) We
    still think there is the potential for an embedded heavier band
    of snow with totals in the 4-6+ inch range. Uncertainty still on
    exactly where this would occur but somewhere near or just south
    of the I-95 corridor appears most heavily favored. 
    For this
    reason, this could still be an impactful event despite the
    current snowfall forecast not being that high. This will be
    monitored closely and if confidence for this increases, Winter
    Storm Warnings will be considered.

    https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

    5493295b-5e8a-4420-9485-58e6bab23cbe.thumb.gif.60841782a7fab129ada8e5f828e2ccec.gif

    My. Holly pretty bullish..KFOK with no advisory yet for long island..

    • Confused 1
  8. 1 minute ago, lee59 said:

    I'm getting the outer edge of a good thunder and lightning storm.

    ..not coming here..

    Great beach day..nice sw breeze..temp @ KFOK 84*..LAG 97*

    What heat wave?..not out here on ELI....enjoying the cool Atlantic..

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