Hyphnx

Yeah, low top and quick spin up

Heading my way.

Heavy downpour near RIC.

Fart like a butterfly and it stings like a bee?

AKQ late to the party?

Getting pretty warm in RVA. Cloud cover has increased. Had peaks of sun this morning for a few hours.

But when that snow line hits us in the NAM 18z.. it's a ton. Like.... high ass rates.

Each run of the HRRR is less and less

In Chester

I'm curious to see the temps. We already have an inch on the ground

Ground is covered in Chester. Big fat flakes dropping now.

Light to moderate snow in Walthall, sticking to everything. Curious to see this warm nose tonight. 2-8" could be possible. Pending on the mixing.

Moderate to heavy in Chester! No mixing

So hard to believe RIC is going to have issues when it's this cold and theres a good deep blue about to run through the city. Maybe the models are having a hard time catching onto the temps

Skies about to open above Chester.

Flurries picking up in Chester. Heavy stuff looks to be approaching soon on radar.

Flurries in Chester

If we start as snow then there's a chance it keeps the atmosphere cold enough to stay as snow

Should be okay, Sunday morning seems to be the brunt. This isn't good

Going to be another classic nowcasting storm

I remember reading earlier that cold air was not an issue and the long range models have a hard time seeing it. I'm pretty hopeful for 4-6+ in RVA. I wouldn't mind working from home on Monday...

It's been so cold, hard to believe it won't be cold enough for an all snow event. But then again, it's not even here, yet

Correct. When looking at the dew points for RIC I was almost in denial that mixing would occur. I still think it should be an all snow event.

From LWX: Forecast Discussion An upper-level trough will eject out of the southwest overnight Friday night into Saturday. An area of surface low pressure will form over Texas in response to this upper-level feature, and move into the southeastern U.S by Saturday night. Ahead of the main surface low pressure system moving across the southeast, another weak area of upper-level energy will be moving across our area Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, which will provide some extra lift ahead of the main system. At the same time, a strong surface high will funnel cold air in from the north, while southwesterly flow above the surface overruns the wedge of cold air. This combination of moisture and enhanced lift will result in a period of snow starting late Saturday morning, continuing into Saturday night. Snow associated with the main surface low looks to move in early Sunday morning and continue throughout the day on Sunday. On Sunday, the primary surface low pressure system will slide by to our south through the Carolinas. The precipitation from this system will stretch northward and affect areas as far north Pennsylvania. Temperatures will be plenty cold enough for snow for the entire duration of this system, so precipitation types will not be an issue. Latest runs of the operational Euro and NAM are in fairly good agreement that the low will move off the coast around Cape Hatteras, while the operational GFS took a slightly more southern track. However, GEFS and EPS ensembles seem to be in fairly good agreement that more closely resembles that of the operational Euro and NAM. While some uncertainty remains in terms of the exact track, it seems as though most guidance is in decent agreement.

I'll take it, hope the temp warrants all snow and not this stupid mixing