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Everything posted by Chucktown81

  1. Curious, how helpful/accurate are these models (GFS/Euro) this point so close the landfall of the storm? Are there other models at this point in the short range that do better with storm direction? Or is it just nowcasting at this point?
  2. Regardless of what the models are telling us, what does the atmosphere look like now? How is the current track trending? Is it more N, NW, or right on track? Looks like its on the north side of the "cone" right now?
  3. Prepare for rain, that would be the biggest threat it tracks further inland and south. Could be very little, could be a lot more depending on track. Are you in a flood prone area that floods during heavy rain? If so, plan on being somewhere else just in case. If not, you should be fine. Follow the NHC closely. Have a plan. Don’t panic, be prepared and follow your local officials. .
  4. There is still a chance this gets dangerously close to Charleston. Don’t get hung up on the weather weenies here posting each model run as gospel. Charleston is still well within the cone of uncertainty. The models will continue to shift. By Tuesday it should be much clearer as to where this will go and I think you’ll be in a better position to make a call or not to come down to Charleston (I live in downtown CHS btw). If it’s looking like a likely major impact, they will issue evacuation for our area and all of the freeways will be reversed and a **** ton of people go to grocery stores and gas stations at the same time and it will be a little nuts. They would likely make the evacuation call by Wednesday. Went through this with Matthew a few years ago, which wasn’t even that bad of a hurricane. This could be much worse depending on where it lands. Follow official NHC forecasts, not weather weenies, and follow the local news here in chs (twitter is good place to get local news alerts). If it were me, I would definitely continue to plan on coming here as of now, and make the call to come or not on Tuesday. .
  5. I'm in downtown Charleston and I must say I'm surprised about how bad it is here, especially the wind.
  6. So I live in downtown Charleston but am in Cali for a wedding. Baby is at the house with Grandma watching her. What day should we fly back to Charleston if we need to evacuate? I want to get back into CHS before flights are cancelled. When will Irma be near CHS per most recent model guidance?
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