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Posts posted by Tigerchick224
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Question…is the leeside event some models are showing different from the mesolow forming? I am just learning and curious. Thanks!
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Now THAT is the Oconee Snowhole if I have ever seen it. If it ever makes it’s way into a textbook someday, they need this as a graphic.
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@wncsnow @buckeyefan1 thank you both for your kind words! I just emailed Mississippi State about what I would be required to do as a new/old student. We shall see!
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Hi! Not sure where to put this, so feel free to remove if necessary.
I am currently a second grade teacher and have been the past twelve years and I can say I am no longer happy. Weather has always been a passion of mine, and the older I get and the less time I have left, the more I want to go for it.
However, math was always a weak spot for me. I noticed with some of the programs I am looking at, a lot of Calculus is necessary. I haven’t taken that type of math in 13 years.
For meteorologists on the board, do your have any useful tips or suggestions on how to do well on the math that comes with a weather degree? Thank you in advance.
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Imo, it's pretty much game over for the upstate if the baja low doesn't get mostly sucked up in to the trough. The 06z Euro still did this but it was starting to leave a tail of energy behind compared to previous runs. The 12z Nam and 12z Icon sucks it up in a similar fashion, the mostly catch it but leave a bit of a trail behind.
The 12z Rgem leaves a little bit more of it behind.. longer tail, less precip.
12z GFS leaves it completely behind (so much so that it's showing a very weak secondary wave of precip from it.
Are you thinking this for the first wave, second wave, or both waves of precip?
I remember events where precipitation was supposed to fill in from the east and it never did.
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Just came in from sledding because of the sleet and wind combination…ouch!!! Coming down hard now.
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Got snow in Travelers Rest!
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Flizzard at Caesar’s Head!
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Travelers Rest 41/27.
Just saw some snow on radar up at Caesar’s Head. Headed up to check it out and see if it’s verga or the real deal.
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Lol...not sure if this was worded correctly.
Lol! I am playing with my son and I call him “buddy,” so I guess I typed it when I said it. my bad!
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I think north of 85 in SC is looking good for 4-8 inches of snow. My confidence level for that is pretty good all things considered.
8-12 possible north of hwy 11 and 10-12+ in the sc mountains above 1500ft.
I would love to be used at Caesar’s Head for this event. We are in TR about ten minutes south of 11 and I’m banking on at least 6”. We have a huge hill in front of our house my 4 y/o has been itching to sled down.
I always root for my friends south of 85, buddy once again, it is the battleground of the Upstate.
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Tigerchick, that's pretty much what I'm going with. I have 5-8", 4-6" 2-3" and 1-2"...pretty much your same zones. I thought Chris put out an excellent videocast. There is still much uncertainty. And if we get the amount of ice that is potential, it will for sure cut down on the snow totals.
Thanks! I am hoping we can keep the warm nose at bay for as long as possible!
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Upstate SC Peeps- Can I have some honest feedback on this first call map? I have a lot of friends and family who ask me about weather and I don’t want to disappoint them by being to bullish. I thought Chris Justus was somewhat conservative and heavily reliant on climo today,and with some of his past calls, within good reason. However, I am really liking this front end thump models are depicting before the warm nose. I tried to make a map between model ensemble estimates and his forecast. Thanks in advance!
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We are trying to keep the waa from changing us over in this situation.
Got it. Thanks!
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That's why we call it being nam'd this far out We're looking for the general track with the short term models at this point.
That’s what I thought! I know it is good at sniffing our warm noses, but I also remember it being very bullish this far out. I know here in the Northern Upstate, evaporational cooling has saves our butts several times. Do you think that will come into play here? -
Doesn’t the NAM have issues with temps that far out towards the end of the run?
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Ensembles
Now that is a thing of beauty. So much pink and purple! You don’t see that much.
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My favorite part of the GSP AFD is the bolded here. We are cautioned to manage our expectations. Yeah, we're not too good at doing that on weather boards.
Laughs in Weather Weenie!
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Headed to Grandfather Mtn in the morning. Hope the leaves are near peak there! Anyone have any reports from that area?
I have heard they are wonderful! We were on the BRP today and colors were popping big time around 5300-5300’.
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Saw a video from there and it was pouring
Rates were absolutely insane! It haven’t seen anything like it since January 2011.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
in Southeastern States
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Oh wow! That is textbook. I know this is a Niña year, but I remember some of our biggest snows being in Niña years. Weak ones, at least.
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