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McDowell_Weather

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    2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    56 minutes ago, SnoJoe said:

    I usually don't start complaining until about the third Scotch. Somewhere in the 10 to 11 pm range. But like Ashy said, it's hard watching it snow down south while it creeps north.

    Temp's down to 33.9 after a high of 38.9 so I think we're ok there. Smells like snow.

    Cheers My Friend!!!!!!!

    • Like 1

    2020/2021 Fall/Winter Mountain thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    On 12/6/2020 at 9:12 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

    I’m at just over 3,000 feet now ;)

    I used to live on coxes creek I've seen some wild weather in the grassy creek area. I've seen it pour snow at the golf course pushing five inches get on up the road just a half mile to spruce pine barley anything. The escarpment plays a big role in that area imo. 

    • Like 1

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

    From what all the mets have said and what the LR models show, it does look like most of January is toast. Of course we'll get a few cold fronts to come through and some locations in the mountains may see some light events (like yesterday); but it's going to be a warm pattern for at least a couple of weeks. 

    Now a little positive attitude, I still think we have at least a 50/50 chance of getting into a better (if not great) pattern. Fab February could be coming. Couple of points: 1) All the indices are bad, but as said before what comes up must come down (question is when). 2) We've got locked into a stable pattern. Once we get into February/March (usually) the global stable winter patterns begin to fluctuate with  smaller troughs and ridges. No guarantees, but at least we can get (quick) eastern troughs again. 3) The northern hemisphere has had cold. It's been locked up in western Canada. If/when we get a flip, it should not take long (days) to get us very cold.  

    So basically it could end up being the worse winter ever, Or it could end up being a great winter, or something in between.     

    Couldn't have said it better my friend one thing's for sure too it's been wet with no end in sight all we need is to get that cold air and we could be in bussiness I know it's wishful but definitely in the realm of possibilities. There a lot of truth in the ole saying we need the cold first not enough to suppress but in our neck of the woods to be tapped anyway having cold air like we have on our side of the hemisphere is a plus in my book.

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    There's to much cold air up in Canada for me to throw in the towel just yet for anybody really. I do like to get a good snow before FEB bc it produces more of a mix (waa,more amped,ect) but it has produced for All of us too. I dont like analogs anymore there's to much change going on call it gw or whatever you like we're just in a whole other ballpark than even 10-15 years ago imho. So I'm generally a realist but to cliff dive for anyone at this point is funny yeah the decks stacked in your favor but if you enjoy that it's time for a new hobby or state. 

    • Like 3

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    I guess this is my yearly rant lol There's no need to be jealous of people that live NW of 85 due to more snow because it's not always the case I've got just as many variables against me as people who live down east when it comes to snow downsloping elevation dependent blah blah blah the list goes on. I live directly at the base of the Linville gorge Google it and come visit it's awesome Grand canyon of the east but idk how many times if looked out my window and watching snow pour above 2000 feet it drives me nuts I get one good storm a year on average and been several years in a row with none. Point is we all love snow no need to be jealous or sarcastic if you don't like we're you live move it's that simple.

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    Just now, burrel2 said:

    06z CMC trended the mix line further south in to the upstate Sunday morning compared to 00z. Still has mostly sleet/zr all the way to the nc/va border though.

    Need stronger hp this is why i haven't jumped on those big totals feb 2014 was a lesson learned this storm reminds me alot of it got 3in of sleet ughh. Until the nam trends colder my expectations are in check like the ole vern gosdin song this aint my first rodeo lol

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    1 minute ago, wxduncan said:

    Good to hear I'm really pulling for at least 12+ I could care less about those 15-25 totals just want a foot that would be amazing for around here.

    I could see us getting 8-16 I know that's I big spread but I'm waiting on the nam before I fine tune that. If we can stay all snow longer we could get two feet. The problem is warm air aloft we almost always get a little sleep mixed in that can really cut totals down but for right now we got second row seats to this one mtns got front row but hey I ain't complaining it's the first week of December lol

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    1 minute ago, calculus1 said:

    Yeah, that's definitely not a favorite feature of mine.  I'm not sure why it's doing that either.  When the moisture comes from the south, the mountains shouldn't have the effect that they do when it comes from the west or northwest.

    I've always thought the south mountains always helped with lift I could be wrong...

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    1 minute ago, ryan1234 said:

    While you may be right, it's also way too early to make bold statements like that. It was only last year that the Atlanta burbs got over a foot, around the same time. 

    Less than a 50% chance of less than one inch woke up too 9 inches it takes alot to go right but the overall setup is definitely there.

    • Like 1

    Hurricane Florence

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

    So we went from WNW to due west movement in he latest advisory. Interesting. 

    It has my attention thats for sure!!! Were saturated 4 inches of rain would cause flooding here for us in Mcdowell let alone 10-20! 

    • Like 1

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    13 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said:

    Because E 19 for Florida! adds so much substance to the discussion :facepalm:    Reading more and posting less until you have it figured out, would probably be best then. 

    ROFLMAO.  Im sorry i wasent going to say anything but.......really? Michelle.......What about hmmmm let me think.....MACK for instance. (NO OFFENSE MACK) He adds alot of substance to the discussion dosent he? Let me guess he pays his YEARLY SUBSCRIPTION!!!! So therefor gets special treatment along with a few others. OR hes been around for soooo long and has seniority that defys all rules? Witch is it? From one supervisor to another ( Ethan Allen shipping department) I treat everyone the same there are no picks. Things work alot smoother that way. Delete me if you want after five years ive spoke my peace.

    • Like 1
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