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Extreme NEGA

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Everything posted by Extreme NEGA

  1. I can't believe it. WoW GSP Meanwhile, the new ECMWF keeps the boundary draped much closer to our region with a very positively tilted nrn stream upper trof and ridge supporting a continental high over the Plains that keeps the thickness gradient across our region. Precip on the nrn edge...across our fcst area...but would be falling into cold-enough air to bring some wintry precip. The fcst for Wed nite and Thursday splits the difference, keeping a 20/30 pct chance of precip with a p-type of mostly rain, but with a high elevation snow. As you can imagine, this part of the fcst may change quite a bit between now and then.
  2. It's too early to get into the specifics of it really but going off the latest Euro model I would not be surprised if it started as some rain down your way. It's still a week away so many changes going forward. Models are not in agreement as of right now but this afternoon's Euro run was a good start to what is hopefully a trend.
  3. Yep the suface temps is what I was referring to but that is true about last weekends system. Nice to finally have something on on the euro too.
  4. This thing might have legs since the Euro and CMC is showing it. GFS lol well it's what I call the flip flop model lol. Maybe will see a better run from it today or we lose this all together ha.
  5. Yea it's strange. Drove to Helen, GA the sun was out and 50 degrees. Came back to Toccoa cloudy and 37.
  6. Should have a nice view there in the morning with everthing glazed over. It's not foggy here yet.
  7. I guess we don't get a Special weather Statement
  8. It's great to be able to get the sled out and boat the same week.
  9. 4 inches here but coming to the end soon
  10. GSP trying to play catch up: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1100 AM: Light to moderate snow, with some areas of +SN continues to overspread the Upper Savannah River Valley and the NC mtns late this morning. The latest high res/ short term models indicate partial thickness values are more than favorable for snow across all but perhaps the extreme southeast part of the forecast area, so p-type will hinge largely on surface temps. Mid clouds overspreading the western part of the area just after sunrise resulted in surface temps not warming as fast as previously anticipated. While some warming from the south is expected to occur into the afternoon, which could force a changeover to rain south of I-85, it`s looking increasingly like locations across the western half of the area, and along/north of I-85 will see mostly snow. The Winter Weather Advisory has been expanded to include another row of zones to the south of the old advisory. Even outside of the advisory area, accumulating sub-advisory snowfall (< 1 inch Piedmont/foothills), < 2 inches mountains are likely. The only exception may be the I-77 corridor, where temps have warmed to around 40, and guidance strongly agrees that liq equivalent precip will only be around 0.05". Nevertheless, with surface wet bulb temps still just below freezing, especially north of I-85, some dustings will be possible in those areas. The wave responsible for this mess will move rapidly east this evening, with lingering precipitation paring back to the typical west to northwest flow moisture areas before ending overnight. This airmass will support max temps today some 15 to 20 degrees below climo, with mins 1 to 2 categories below climo tonight.
  11. Heard Rabun Co has 4 inches and road are impassable.
  12. 31 degrees and still snowing. Got 2 inches. a bust by GSP
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