LIWeatherGuy29

On and off steady rain here. I wonder if that swath of heavy rain will make it to southwest Nassau.

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

It looks that way right now with the magnitude of the ongoing AO reversal. It will take the pattern time to rebound from such a steep decline. The GEFS now has close to a 6 SD total decline. I believe that would be a first for the AO this time of year. Going from +3 to near -3 is as extreme as it gets in April. 

How cold are we talking?

1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

Of course the NAO and AO wants to go negative as we head into April.

 

Never fails lol

What would that mean?

11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

All other variables held constant, it would support milder readings—not exceptional warmth, but still on the warm side of normal for the closing week of March. Both the CFSv2 and EPS support such an idea.

Thanks.

7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, it looks like it should be the main pattern for the 2nd half of March. 

What would that mean in reguards to temperatures?

About 2" of snow here on the south shore of Nassu County. Sleet mixing in now.

6F here in Nassau County.

10 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

May not be a good thing since temps are crashing and it may flash freeze.

Ending in Huntington but wow, that was insane. Everything here is covered. 

True. I see salt all over the roads but it may not be as effective when the temperature plummets tonight.

5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Wicked!  Looks like tornado video.

It looked the same way here in Southern Nassau County. Epic storm! There's a dusting of snow on the ground but thankfully not on the roads.

5 minutes ago, snowheavyattimes said:

And I’m hearing 1-3 in NYC with a rapid freeze-up.

Anything for Long Island?

5 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Watch we get 1 huge snowstorm and that's it.

If we get a huge snowstorm I would be thrilled. Even if it's the only storm all winter and it happens in March, then bring on spring.

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

The anemometer at the Battery was at an elevation of 450 feet. So that gust was higher than the surrounding stations.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/noaareports/at195409.pdf

Peak surface gusts around NYC:

EWR...76

TEB.....71

LGA.... 66

JFK......65

The strongest winds occurred i n New York City between 7:30 and 8:OO p.m. when the center of the storm was in the process of moving toward Lake Ontario. Numerous gusts of over 70 miles per hour were ob- served at the Weather Bureau Office at the Battery with the highest velocity of 113 miles per hour,
for the fastest mile, occurring at 7:49 p.m. This velocity ishigher than that reported by most other reporting stations around this area but consistent with the pattern especially since the anemometer is a t an elevation of 450 feet above sea level with wide open exposure t o southeast winds. This is the highest wind velocity recorded since weather observations were started by the Weather Bureau in New York City in 1871. The previous high record for the fastest mile Was 99 miles per hour occurring with the passage of the 1944 hurricane on September 14th. The speeding up of the forward motion of this storm prevented the tides from developing to anything exceptional Since the strong winds occurred about two hours before high-tide time. Tides were above normal, however, in most all localities around the Metropolitan area during the morning and vening high tide periods.
With a storm of this type, it was natural that the amount Of damage was related to the distance from the center of the storm and i n the Metropolitan area, the greatest amount Of damage was reported from northern New Jersey, a considerable amount in New York City proper and then tapering off to very little in Suffolk County on Long Island.

Great info! Thanks.

On 12/15/2018 at 8:05 AM, bluewave said:

That is some story. It produced The 2nd biggest snowstorm in Detroit history. We wound up on the warm side of the storm. I can remember all the sand pushed up onto the streets from the coastal flooding near the beach. 

https://www.weather.gov/dtx/dtwsnowstorm

Wind Records (Peak Gusts in MPH)
Location
 
Central Park (1951-pres.)
ENE 78 mph
December 2, 1974

The Battery
 113+ mph
October 14, 1954

Was there any damage from Hurricane Hazel in New York City? I can't find any info online about it, all I found was the wind speed.

Pouring rain here. It's not too often that the heavy rain band sets up over Nassau County.

Just now, Rjay said:

Over 4" here

Same here. I measured the same.

Pouring rain here. Some lightning and thunder.

19 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Ummm, is this a surprise? It wasn’t a big deal anyway at least on the UWS. Just a few minutes of heavy rain, barely any wind or lighting. Just a typical early fall cold frontal passage. 

I do remember a squall line growing up around this time of year that caused some tree damage. Maybe early 90s. So it can happen.   

I'm not surprised. The south shore had a good soaking yesterday so I'm not complaining

The storm skipped over Southern Nassau County.

1821 Norfolk/Long Island hurricane was probably close to the 1938 hurricane in strength when it hit NYC. It caused a lot of damage there, read the newspapers for that storm. It was estimated to have been a category 3 over NYC and Category 4 over Southern NJ. That would be the worst case scenario for Long Island/NYC and worse than Sandy.

Pouring now.

Got dark here but so far no rain.

7 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Thoughts on storms for later? The immediate south shore has been extremely dry, to the point that lawns a brown and perrenials and annuals are dying. 

It's getting ridiculous, no rain here in 15 days. I hope tonight delivers a good rain but it doesn't look that way based on radar.

No rain here in 2 weeks. The mature Sycamore trees in the area are losing a lot of their leaves. It must be from a lack of rainfall.

19 minutes ago, doncat said:

Managed 0.03" today but did have a significant 1.21" on the 22nd out this way.

Only 0.30 here on August 22nd. It doesn't look like there's any rain in the forecast for at least a week.

The soils dried out in the yard. Last rain here was last Wednesday. Newly planted tree's are going to start becoming stressed if there's not a soaking rain soon with all this heat.