Really nice post. Awesome way to describe and visually depict. Clear as day to what is needed as far as wind direction wrt to CCB development and what each model is showing.
So stronger shortwave, also stronger confluence on 12zGFS, but doesn’t seem to be a wash wrt sensible weather outcomes. Went from mostly snow at 6z to a scalp fest at 12z for most of CT. Did the 2mb increase of shortwave strength promote more warming aloft?