I know persistence forecasting isn’t a thing but damn, seems like you’d be on a forecasting hot streak if using that methodology and just going all in on suck.
Ooooo, can you please give us a classic Tip novella on how exactly you think this would play out, ground truth. Joking aside, I’d love to hear your version of what would occur.
GFS absolutely smashed 1/6 south. We are states away from even a flake on the south coast 18z verbatim. That trend is not going away IMO. Not trying to be negative, it just is what it is.
GFS continues to try and pop a coastal after slamming into the vortex. Almost an inverted trough look as the coastal tries to spawn but hangs back a bit of energy with the primary. Not that it matters really. Just verbatim OP
The 6th system being shredded to nothing is a developing trend. I believe that’s what we see with that system. Yesterday GFS did the same thing, looked quite healthy in the OV and just vaporized on approach. It’s sniffing that out.
Beyond the chaotic state of undefined shortwaves, which I agree with, the block is going to add mucho velocity and could create a shortwave shredder. We need some amped up shortwaves.