dmillz25

Just saw some lightning with the squall line passing through northern Brooklyn 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Funny how @snowman21 hasn't been quoting as many of his tweets of late...he'll be back for the thaw in January lol

I think he’s snowman19 but yeah he’s been quiet lol

13 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

You missed 3/21/18. NYC got 13”

7 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said:

Looks terrible.  Hate winter.  A win would be cold and dry in that pattern, only hope

Lol 

24 minutes ago, George001 said:

With blocking that severe the ceiling for this December is very high, as in 20+ inches of snow for the month in most of SNE. That is a lot, but it only takes one storm to reach those amounts with this severe North Atlantic blocking pattern. Instead of getting 12 hour storms with a positive NAO in this pattern due to the blocked flow the low isn’t going anywhere, so we would get 24 hour storms instead, possibly longer. With the warm ssts offshore I’m thinking a March 2018 redux, where the NW areas get clobbered with the first storm or 2. Then mid to late month when the cold air is more established (there are signs of a polar vortex displacement event on the models, despite no SSW), the clash between the northern airmass and the mild early season Atlantic Ocean SSTs leads to any area of low pressure forced to redevelop offshore due to the blocking to undergo rapid cyclogenesis as it comes up the coast, deepening into the 960s. On top of this, we have the increased water vapor in the atmosphere due to the volcanic activity last year, this increase in water vapor will lead to truly obscene QPF totals. 

 

Crack?

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

that was all pac based, this is better than that

March 2018?

Just now, forkyfork said:

this is the best looking december pattern since 2010

Oh boy Forky has spoken

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

PAC* and that’s not looking great 

It’s not looking terrible. Definitely not like last year

Impressive arctic blocking showing up for the early/mid December time frame. 

My goodness that block on the eps

3 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Paul Roundy said he believes MJO phases 5-8 will be dominant this winter

Not bad at all back and forth

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Everclear?

Devil springs? Lol

4 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

That’s sexy

5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Nice recent ensemble runs. They're really hitting the Arctic blocking strong. Looks like this week's cutter may initiate a wave break that forces a -NAO/AO. 

Still a little too east-based for my liking but not bad. Looks good for SNE & north though. 

At this point I just want the pattern to mature and settle in. I truly don’t expect much until after 12/7 down here. SNE could definitely be sooner though 

2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

I know you’re going to be shocked but I think this December is most likely going to average colder and snowier than normal even with the -PNA, the only thing I doubt with the -PNA is a KU, but overall…

8” of snow in December is above avg I’ll be happy with that

25 the low here

Down to 26 here. First 20s of the season 

Down to 38

Just now, BuffaloWeather said:

Derby with 77.4”

They got over NYCs all time record in snowfall in a season in a day and a half lol

5 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

5.6" of snow at last snowboard wipe. Brings me to 73.7" storm total.

My goodness that’s insane!

30 here

Down to 33 here

38 and rain