Ravens94

Don't see how southern/se PA don't get a foot with the radar returns coming in

Great HRRR run in game time 

Incoming 

Anyone have the 18z eps

HRRR is just moving precip around. Another 4-8 run at 10:1 and 3-6 at model ratio.

HRRR shows a definite chance for thundersnow 

4-8 could very easily be verified baltimore NE and I think that's what I'll be going with. Unless the mesos fail miserablely with the look on soundings it will be easy to achieve.

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

When the RAP pulls the ripcord it’s gonna be brutal because each run I believe 1% more

6 inches for baltimore on Kutchera

Only getting heavier

SREF is showing around 7:1 ratios for NE MD per 15z so there is not much snow loss from 10:1

Lol legit

HRRR is slowing it up a touch but building a better precip shield

I really dont understand the extreme negative approach to this by many altho most who are were no where to be found yesterday... This has huge potential to be a smoker North of Baltimore kutchera is 4+ on majority of the models with 10:1 being higher. PWAT is up around .7 a hour if its 10:1 its going to be a bust high of epic proportions.

GFS is 34 vs meso is 32 and 31 For temps. To me meso models are going to do far better with this due to the instability aloft.

GFS caving and i expected that based on the GEFS

GFS south

Lots of energy aloft tomorrow morning

PW values also super high

Blues are getting heavier and growing SW

.71 PW

Gonna be a ripper