Ravens94

Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

GFS and NAM had it in their snow depth charts. 

Snow depth is because of Temps not lack of precip

07:00 am EST - 2/13/2024 1 NNE Fort Ritchie, MD 6.5

Radar is blossoming 

6 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

But the flip was 7 am (12z). It was right on cue. 

I hope you weren’t hugging the 10:1 maps from the RAP, were you?

Absolutely not soundings had pwat of near .7 and pure rippage at this time for baltimore and north it would have resulted in 2-3 inch per hour as they are getting in north Frederick and Southern PA now. There was no indication of dry air or a dry slot unless you were in Southern MD flip time was 6:15

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I don’t think the dry slot hurt us. It would have been just rain

This was game time for 2-3 per hour per all the models. Not 1 had a dry slot now

Lmao dry slot wasn't picked up till 2 hours ago total killer 

Carroll northern Baltimore and Harford will miss the slot

This batch will be snow but we need it to get moving. Winds now NE so moisture is flowing in now

Just need 2-3 hours of the 1-3 per hour looking at 500 it's getting unstable alof. Really nice vort going to swing thru

Heavy returns forming on the pivot

Everyone's Temps have cooled now just need the pivot. No model had this slot 

Likely will lighten up then pick up once the pivot and move east completes. Low is slightly more tucked 

Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

That is a nasty dryslot working into DC. 

Still all rain in Fallston. Temperature says 33 degrees. 

Changeover imminent 

Getting pingers in dundalk under the yellow

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Pounding rain in Westminster. 

Coming your way!

Emmitsburg has gone to snow and it's ripping per cameras ground is white

R/S line coming into northern Baltimore and near Emmitsburg pivot is taking place

Berk got 1.5 in 20 min at 34 degrees.. real deal stuff

R/S rapidly advancing in now

HRRR still 6+ north of 70 and Baltimore city 

CC starting to show sleet in heavier returns near 95

Starting to see coma formation on radar coastal low getting going

GFS finally is in game