EHoffman

11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

 

This one response is the best justification for heavy snow in DC with this storm that I've seen yet.  All hail IBM

What's the general ratio for sleet? Is it 3:1?

Just now, ThePhotoGuy said:

 

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow Thursday morning will be heavy at times with snowfall rates around 1 to 2 inches per hour possible along with visibility reduced to around one-quarter mile at time.

Set your alarms for 3am boys

Just now, Amped said:

It's really just pixie dust.  Only the Delmarva gets over 1" in 6hrs.

Yeah totally, but it's progress

Still going at 72 a bit, it's no G/RGEM but the Friday night coastal thump bears watching.  Classic euro with the 36 hour storm

66 throws some snow from the coastal back into the DC metro

1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Pivotal doesn't show precip panels for the Ukie? Or am I missing something? 

No but it has 6 hour QPF maps

Ukie sick snow dump up front

15 minutes ago, DeeDeeHCue said:

I have watched these threads with fascination and finally caved and created an account. This is a field I know nothing about, but involves snow, which I love. I moved away from Baltimore for 13 years, missed all the great snow storms and seems I moved back during the 6-7 year lull, and have watched wave after disappointing wave drop virtually nothing. So, give a complete idiot some guidance: at what point should I actually get excited? 6 hours out? 12? Sleep until the Governor declares a State of Emergency?

If you go into the storm thread and see a user named "Ji" excited about a snow map then it is your time to get excited

There's some really sick rippage in DC for at least a few hours on HRRR

Is Jebwalking in pouring sleet even a thing? Seems miserable to me

Just now, SoCoSailer said:

For those wondering this is what the RPM shows

I thought the RPM was a model that could be customized and run by many different entities?  Am I wrong?

Just got in from a walk and it got REAL chilly towards the end.  Winds howling too, walking across Taft Bridge felt like tropical storm force gusts.  Had trouble walking. 

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

My hat is off to you. You’ve had a great last 30 hours that’s gonna be hard to top.

Literally just having a good time.  People here so emotional over their snow.

3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Starting your post with "Banter:" in the main thread will 100% make me wonder if you've even looked in the thread listing. 

You're right, the thread is at its best when 10 people comment the same thing about hr 42 of the NAM at the same time.

Just now, Ji said:

i didnt even know the HRRR went out to 48 hours

Runs to 48 at 0z, 6z, 12z, 18z

11 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said:

over under 3 inches DC?

DCA? under

Can someone post the full watch text please

10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I do wonder what the results this year would have been say 30 years ago in DC.  It’s a Nina with a generally mediocre pac base state irrespective of enso so expecting a 1996 or 2010 type result from the blocking would be ambitious in the least.  But up here for example, the results have at least been more in line with what you would expect from a great blocking winter with mediocre “other” factors. I’m very likely to end to above climo snowfall (only 5” away with a LOT of winter to go up here).  Unless we get a 1958 type finish it won’t rival the top 10% type winters but it’s likely to end up in that very good category just below that.  Obviously I do better then DC but I’m talking wrt climo. Historically when I finish above climo so does DC. I’ve noticed more of a decoupling of that in recent years though where not only do I do better in raw numbers but I also am doing much better wrt climo some years.   I wonder how much of that is the elephant in the room. 

I think it's a super interesting topic, but it totally makes sense that even modest overall warming trends over the past ~30 years would trigger less frozen events in mediocre setups down around here. 

https://twitter.com/JesseJenkins

This guy is a good read/follow if you're interested in the ongoing Texas energy crisis amidst the winter storm down there.  Sounds like the disaster is way worse than is being led on.

Just now, Kmlwx said:

 

Gotta love it...

This is straight up banter so last thing I'll say on this, but we were referring to different panels and I even said earlier that the front end thump was way juicer on the 12z.

Really solid run all around, we're like surprisingly close to hanging on in DC

Thursday night NW of DC bump looks real tho

Dramatic QPF cutoff NW of DC at 60 vs 6z.

Euro way juicier than 6z at 54.  Ji walloped, most importantly