Euripides

The Sun is peaking in and out here so the HRRR and NAM can show some rain all they want. It is not happening here.

Back edge is approaching my area so unless this RGEM unicorn low pops up and starts back building in the precipitation, this will be over and a bummer of an event.

Will still take it as something but oh it could have been so much more.

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

RGEM backs a good amount of rain back in from the east tonight into tomorrow. Not sure how realistic that is .... we'll see.

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

a low develops on the front and keeps the rain going and backbuilding...

Until we all see it happening we all hold our breath waiting for it.

Everyone is very skeptical as the area has been screwed a few times already.

Just now, T5403CG said:

I will be amazed if that happens...

Same and would be happy if even 1/2 those amounts verified.

15 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

For June? You mean September?

Lol as a minor slip up as I thought September is the new August now anyway  

So nice to see steady rain falling for the first time in a long time and not a burst of heavy rain for 10 to 15 minutes (if at that) from a passing thunderstorm for those lucky enough to get a few of those the past two months plus. Some areas did better with T-storms and some did worse. Would put my area in the middle.

Will take what we got as it was something for the lawns, definitely not enough for the trees though.

I am at the point where I do not trust any model output for any rain amounts.

Kudos to those who were able to get some decent amounts. Big bust for most.

I was not paying attention yesterday as what is supposed to rain this morning?

Woke up to nice rain coming down and see on radar that it is a nice heathy batch over a chunk of NJ and heading into LI.

‘Nice surprise to wake up to

I had a cell go over the area with some nice heavy rain, no thunder or lighting. Now a super mugfest out there right now.

Just happy everything got a decent watering as we lucked out last Thursday evening and now with this one.

Wait and see if more widespread for more for everyone later this evening.

4 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Euro/hrrr pretty dry now for today. We shall see what happens 

Had a feeling that was going to happen.

So glad I and a few others lucked out with the rain yesterday evening.

Finally got two rounds of heavy rain, lightning and thunder. Third batch is light with some flashes

3 minutes ago, uncle W said:

near Hylan blvd and Woods of Arden ave...

Ouch as looks like just going a few blocks to your north and northeast was a different story.

Sun is breaking though by me.

Wishful thinking at this point to cause enough instability as storms just do not want to fire up for my and other areas around me. Someone has an anti rain shield in central NJ.

8 minutes ago, uncle W said:

I had a brief thunder shower that barely wet the ground...

Ugh as some parts on Staten Island got three rounds per radar. Any chance you are closer to Outer Bridge crossing or southwest Staten Island at that area seemed to get the least?

I feel your pain.

Staten Island says game on for some needed rain there.

More storms are firing up in Western NJ and heading east towards Manhattan, Bronx and north shore of Long Island if they hold together.

Can't even gets showers down here.....sigh.

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

All the models now skunk the nyc/central nj area 

Sigh as sprinklers again this evening it is.

16 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

The drought around our area (ewr,somerset and New Brunswick) is obviously allowing us to soar with temps 

Residents in 7 N.J. counties asked to restrict water usage during sweltering heat wave

3 minutes ago, Chinook said:

that is a well developed rear-flank downdraft or hook echo, considering that's more typical for the Midwest

And on Long Island which makes it even more impressive.

Just now, Allsnow said:

Dry begets dry….another busted event down here with nothing to show for it 

Yep, as we can't get anything over here either.

There was a brief pop up on the radar but it went poof.

Sigh as I can't get a storm over my area to water anything over the past few days. The little bit that fell Saturday night was barely enough to dampen the ground.

Will have to give a good watering with the sprinklers later on unless something pops and crosses the area. My luck I finish both front and back and one storm makes it. So be it......

3 minutes ago, Islandersguy said:

what are the best radar sites to be looking at right now, overnight and into the afternoon tomorrow?

I use this one. You can switch radars sites if needed.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-0-48

What a roller coaster ride for NYC area with the teasing yesterday and last night of coming west to now go back east.

So we get some of the other models to come back onboard and the GFS still won't budge and looks even worse?

I just can't believe how different the #1 and #2 modes are doing with this with 2 days to go.

4 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

We had a lot of blocking that winter and managed 3 actual KU/ big events, though they were not all in the same areas; I got about 32 Boxing Day, 9 during the one that mostly affected CT, and 19 a few weeks later. Then it was over by then end of Jan.

Yeah we were on pace to break record and then nada for February and March. That January was the only time sidewalks looked like planet Hoth trenches, lol

Weenie in me hope it comes back but honestly with some recent health issues now I would settle for a few inches to just look like winter and not have to kill myself with the cleanup. You know it is bad when the snow blower acts like a walker for you. Oof