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Wxdood

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Posts posted by Wxdood

    Late Feb/March Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    @SnowGoose69 here is the Jan/Feb composite h5 for all neutrals following a Nina. 
    IMG_1688.png.243d61e76856fde15c30b2cb554daeab.png

    let me vomit. We’d be way better off with a stronger Nina ridge than that puke there!  Last year we had some discussion that last winter behaved more like a neutral after a Nina and looks a lot more like that comp above than the Nina comp with a stronger pac ridge. The Nina was very weak and fading by winter. 

    That will definitely suck if it goes down like that...

    Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

    The clouds have been A LOT fluffier. low atmosphere cumulus. They are out now, they have been out just about every day with clouds for the last 2 years. That's a sign of near-ground ice crystals. But 2013-mid 2018 was really bad on the opposite side of this, so it takes time to change the long term state imo. 

    That is very interesting.

    Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

    I was responding to comments, one of which was yours. So no. I’ve said this before but I’m not playing that game where someone brings up something then says “why are we talking about this”.  Sorry that isn’t as clever or subtle as you think and I’m not stupid. It’s insulting that you think that would work. Take that passive aggressive BS nonsense somewhere else. 

    Sheesh...  Passive aggressive BS?  Little bit of an overreaction bud.  Wasn't just talking about your comment today but here is an example.  See below:

      11 hours ago, cbmclean said:

     

    Other guidance is colder, but still not as cold as it "should" be.  Perhaps  correlated to low continental snow extent?

    Or something else also 

     

    I don't know how to

     

    What something else were you alluding to here?  Like I said it would be nice to just stick to the topic instead of alluding to this or that...  Two other threads and an entire section of the website itself to panic about "something else". 

    • Confused 1
    • Weenie 1

    Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    56 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

     

    Siberia is a huge high latitude land mass sheltered from any wind flow off a warm body of water. That isn’t a coincidence.  The fact it can still get cold in Siberia means absolutely nothing to us. 

    I would rather not debate this in this thread.  I lurk the forum to read talk about models, patterns etc.  Not discussion alluding to you-know-what causing warm temperatures in winter or our patterns.  There is an entire section of this webside devoted to you-know-what, there is a panic room thread, and a banter thread inside the Mid Atlantic Forum.  It would be nice to keep the Long Range thread for Long Range discussion.  I realize I may not have much pull in this request because of my post count.  Just saying it would be nice.

    • Thanks 5
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    Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

    Why are some people calling for a torch in mid February?  I followed the link to BAM weather.  I clearly don't follow them.  It sort of feels like a good analogy of our political climate. Someone says wintry, the other says torch.  

    Hopefully it ends up being cold and snowy.

    Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, IronTy said:

    There has been a number of posts about how we're still in the game well into March in this thread.  So I went and looked at historical snow totals at DCA by month.  According the the data I saw, we've only gotten double-digit snow totals for the entire month of March twice in recent eras.  Once I think was 2014, and before that it was either was like 1959 or 1969 or somewhere there about.  So I don't get where the March optimism comes from.  

     

    Eta, went and found the data again, it was 1960.  

    All I personally gathered from that is that it can snow just has hard today as it did 60 years ago.  If we get the right pattern and conditions, it can happen.  We have been lacking in the pattern and conditions department for a few years for March snow.  Maybe it'll happen this year.

    Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Webb swapping flame emojis for weenie emojis

     

    Call me crazy but the past 3-4 years it seems like we get that -NAO, favorable cold conditions for winter weather toward April/May and posters in here have said 'too bad we didn't have this pattern in winter'...  that almost seems to be evolving sooner each year and now this year it is happening a little earlier yet which is opening the door for a snowy pattern.  Could this continue to evolve sooner each year?  Kinda interesting to me.

    • Like 4

    Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    8 hours ago, stormtracker said:

    Where the fuck is everybody?  We have an impending MECS on the GFS in less than 105 hours!! if you don't consider the surface temp above freezing and it's during the daytime....start a thread!

    Wait..I was joking but...it's all during Sunday night :o

    Prob too busy overanalyzing rainstorms and how much snow would be falling from it in the 1960's.

    • Like 1
    • Haha 5
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